6:41 PM 06/11/2005

Prediction Changed
12:40 AM 04/05/2005
Election Prediction Project

Federal Election - 2006

Constituency Profile

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Janine G. Gibson
Patrick O'Connor
Wes Penner
Vic Toews

Vic Toews

2004 Result:
Vic Toews
Peter Epp
Sarah Zaharia
Janine G. Gibson

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page

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28 10 05 Craig
True, there is corruption in Vic Toews' own campaign, but it will be nullified by his stance on social issues, especially gay marriage. This is like a 180-degree inverse of liberal urban ridings: corruption is not the first priority. Should the Conservatives form government, Toews would likely be Minister of Justice, and with that he would scrap gay marriage - the main issue here. As a result, he picks up even more votes for an overwhelming majority. This will be the biggest Conservative majority outside Alberta. Predicted results: CPC 71%, LIB 15%, NDP 10%, GRN 3%, others 1%.
17 10 05 B.O.
Don't forget that Toews is guilty of campaign overspending in his 1999 provincial re-election bid. That is some CPC corruption. So while he may still win, I don't see why his scale of victory should go up even more, and may even go down somewhat.
05 05 05 MD
Vic will be returned to Ottawa with his largest victory yet. If the CPC form government look for him to become a Minister.
02 05 05 M. Lunn
This is a very conservative riding with biblically centered towns such as Steinbach which have a large Mennonite population. Vic Toews will not only be re-elected, but may very well be the next Minister of Justice, unfortunately, since I personally don't like his socially conservative views. It should also be noted that this is one of the few ridings the Conservative vote in 2004 exceeded the combined PC/Alliance vote in 2000.

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