Update:
12:52 PM 14/12/2005

Prediction Changed
11:32 PM 03/05/2005
Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Sackville-Eastern Shore
Federal Election - 2006



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
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Libearl/libéral
Bill Fleming
Conservative/conservateur
Paul Francis
Green/Vert
Richard MacDonald
NDP/NPD
Peter Stoffer

Incumbent:
Peter Stoffer

2004 Result:
Peter Stoffer
17925
Dale Stevens
11222
Steve Streatch
8363
David Fullerton
1007
Greg Moors
645

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page




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10 12 05 Jim
Yes Dr. Mullan has profile, but isn't this his third or fourth kick at the can? Brison was re-elected when the defection was still fresh in the constituents minds, he'll be re-elected again.
15 05 05 Christopher MacCulloch
Stoffer is very popular here...Dooks isn't going to run for the Tories and well Streach got murdered here last time. Stoffer in a walk. He is the most popular NDP member in this province, even more than Dexter IMHO...
11 05 05 S.M.
Peter Stoffer isn't so much "personally popular" as much as he's: 1) Build a very good brand around himself, one that jives with cynical people about politics and 2) He has a VERY strong team around him.
Until one of the other parties figure out how to undercut his brand (and I don't think itll happen) - he's got the seat. His organization is just too strong.
07 05 05 Nick Boragina
Stoffer is locally popular, perhaps more so then McDonough. I met him once and he's a funny guy. Many people in parliament enjoy him, and so do people in his riding. He's someone they can relate to. Re-elected easily.
02 05 05 M. Lunn
Although Peter Stoffer narrowly won this riding in 1997 and 2000, he has established himself since then as strong MP and based on the fact he won by 15% last time around, he should hold this. Only if both the Conservatives and Liberals were to rally around one candidate could he be defeated, which is highly unlikely.
02 05 05 BrianJA
Peter Stoffer is a labour-friendly man, extremely charismatic and well-liked by everybody, for the most part. The Conservatives may put up a fight here, but Stoffer will still come out on top. Prediction: NDP hold with a majority vote.



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