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Fleetwood-Port Kells
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale
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Update/Mise à jour: 9:36 PM 6/25/2004 
Prediction Changed La prévision a changé 9:36 PM 6/25/2004 |
Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription
Candidates/candidats:
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N.D.P./N.P.D.: Barry Bell | ||||||
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Liberal Party/Parti libéral: Gulzar Cheema | ||||||
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Conservatives/Conservateurs: Nina Grewal | ||||||
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Marxist-Leninist: Joseph Theriault | ||||||
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Green Party/Parti Vert: David Walters | ||||||
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Incumbents/Les députés: | |||||||
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Surrey Central (87.4%) Gurmant Grewal | ||||||
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Surrey North (12.6%) Chuck Cadman | ||||||
2000 Result/Résultats:
| Redistributed | ||
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18,512 | 54.65% |
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10,558 | 31.17% |
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2,150 | 6.35% |
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1,932 | 5.70% |
| 723 | 2.13% | |
Surrey Central (120/241 polls, 49906/97276 voters) 2000 Prediction/Complete Results | ||
| 9493 | |
| 15330 | |
| 1763 | |
| 1984 | |
| 651 | ||
Surrey North (21/171 polls, 7180/64461 voters) 2000 Prediction/Complete Results | ||
| 1065 | |
| 3182 | |
| 169 | |
| 166 | |
| 72 | ||
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12/06/04 | Michael Shaw Email: [hidden] | |
| Conservative hold. I was kind of on the fence until I saw the candidates for this riding on the BCTV morning news. Nina Grewal looked poised and professional, prepared and articulate, while Gulzar Cheema looked like a bumbling beady-eyed sasquatch who couldn't string a sentence together. Why do all the Liberal candidates in our area (except Dan Sheel in North Surrey) look like a bunch of thugs? | |||
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04/06/04 | DM Email: d_minotaur@hotmail.com | |
| Door knocking with the candidate is yielding very positive results. Secondary voter id polling (calling back the undecided from the first round) shows the Conservative candidate trending upwards moving the Conservative candidate into an 8 point lead, up 6 % from first two days of writ. | |||
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23/05/04 | D. Johnson Email: [hidden] | |
| Gulzar Cheema is the invisible candidate. I have seen no presence, no literature, no ads, no phoning - there is no campaign. Malcolm Perry speculated in the Vancouver Sun that Cheema was carrying the flag for the Party in return for an appointment. Well, I am not sure that his flag carrying is worth anything since no one has seen him over the past month. Nina Grewal is clearly going to be the MP from this riding and in fact, she should spend her time assisting her husband in Newton - North Delta, since Cheema is not giving her a fight. | |||
| 01/05/04 | D. Johnson Email: [hidden] | ||
| This is a very conservative riding and normally there would be no question that this riding should be put in the CPC column. However, the local CPC in Surrey has made some surprising moves in recent months: dumping popular incumbent Chuck Cadman; dumping incumbent Val Meredith; and choosing Nina Grewal, who has virtually no profile in the community and whose only qualification seems to be that she is the wife of MP Germant Grewal, over well-known trustee Mary Polak. The local media has not been kind to the CPC. Nina Grewal faces medical doctor and former BC Cabinet Minister Gulzar Cheema - if this were not such a conservative seat, Mrs. Grewal would be in serious trouble. But, she should win, not because she is the best candidate for the CPC or more qualified than her opponent (she is certainly not), but because she snagged the nomination in a safe conservative seat. However, come election day, there could be some real surprises for the CPC out in Surrey. | |||
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27/04/04 | Full Name Email: [hidden] | |
| This riding will easily go Conservative, considering the riding will be carved out of Grewal's current riding of Surrey Central. Grewal, the two term popular sitting MP, and his wife, Nina Grewal (who has every right to run) are fairly high in the polls. Moreover, recent Liberal scandals, in particular, unfair nomination practices and Liberal scandals will bring them even further down in the polls, come election time. Lastly, all accusations against Mr. and Mrs. Grewal regarding unfair nomination practices won't matter the least bit come election time... Mary Polak and her incessant whining and "crybaby" spoon-feeding to the media revealed a candidate who was not prepared to work hard and sign members... Sorry Mary, politics is a numbers game... If your'e not prepared to step to the plate, then you might as well sit on the sidelines... | |||
| 24/04/04 | G. Stoke Email: [hidden] | ||
| High profile School Trustee Mary Polak was by far the best choice for the CPC, but the shennigans of Germant and Nina Grewal denied Polak the nomination. Polak will not run as an independent and this safe conservative seat will stay Conservative despite the pre-election nomination controversy. Liberal candidate Gulzar Cheema does not have the profile or the organization to win. | |||
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19/04/04 | Travis Email: t_lingenfelter@hotmail.com | |
| This seat is going Conservative. The fact Mary Polak is running as a independent will matter very little here. The Liberals are down in the polls, and with a united right this is a safe Conservative win. | |||
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08/04/04 | Joe P. Email: [hidden] | |
| Now that Mary Polak (who withdrew from the Conservative nomination race) is running as an independant), she will split the Conservative vote with Nina Grewal (who shouldn't be running at all), allowing the Liberal cabinet minister Gulzar Cheema to win. | |||
| 30/03/04 | Steve Email: svgibson@sfu.ca | ||
| I would have said this was a safe conservative seat, except for the fact that Cab. minister Cheema is running for the Liberals. Not sure now. | |||
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28/03/04 | Honest Guy Email: | |
| Although this is a new riding, it is made of the conservative portions of the old Surrey-Central and Surrey-North. This will definately be a Tory landslide. Because of the Tory strength, Liberals have recruited heavyweight G. Cheema. Even his popularity won't be enough to stop the CPC steamroller in this riding. | |||
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28/03/04 | David Email: [hidden] | |
| I think former BC Cabinet Minister Gulzar Cheema has a chance here. As politically incorrect as it may be - the indo-canadian community is going to vote for one of their men before one of their women. Sexism will play a large factor here. Liberal pickup. | |||
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28/03/04 | Ian King Email: vancouverscrum@myrealbox.com | |
| Quick correction to Objective Observer's observation on the riding's origins: Fleetwood-Port Kells is mostly made up of the eastern portion of the old Surrey Central riding, with only a small slice of Surrey North. It's the more conservative-leaning of the two ridings that were carved from Surrey Central. The controversy over Nina Grewal -- her husband Gurmant had declared his candidacy in both F-PK and Newton-North Delta in order to hedge against losing a nomination meeting -- will be a non-issue outside the political hack scene; I don't see Grewal losing support over it. While this was once looking like a Liberal-CA two-way, the raids on the Legislatuire and Adscam have damaged the Liberals' hopes for gains in BC. Provincial cabinet minister Gulzar Cheema has made things interesting by jumping into this federal race; clearly, he'll pull more votes than a no-name candidate. I don't think it'll be enough, though, to keep him from going the way of Wilf Hurd. | |||
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26/03/04 | Brandon L Email: [hidden] | |
| I don't really understand why this would be considered anything but solid Conservative territory. Keep in mind this is the Western edge of the ultra-conservative Fraser Valley. | |||
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20/03/04 | Email: [hidden] | |
| This riding is a conservative strong hold. I believe it will remain conservative. | |||
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20/03/04 | Mike D Email: [hidden] | |
| Nina Grewal, the Conservative candidate, was under some internal party critisism along with her husband who is contesting another Surrey riding. Something to do with their tactics, but I can't recall the exact details. This would have been really tight before the Liberal scandals. With no opponents nominated yet, Mrs. Grewal has a head start in a new riding. | |||
| 20/03/04 | Nick Boragina Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com | ||
| a historic NDP area, but a strong CPC candidate. Too Close right now in my mind. | |||
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20/03/04 | Liu Bang Email: [hidden] | |
| There is the possibility of a Liberal pickup here, especially if Conservative numbers in BC remain about where they are. The NDP is unlikely to be a significant factor here. | |||
| 20/03/04 | Objective Observer Email: objectiveobserver2004@yahoo.ca | ||
| Fleetwood-Port Kells is the new riding, situate on the east side of Hwy 1, carved out of the old Surrey North riding. Considerable development has occurred in this region over the past decade. I would consider this portion of the old Surrey North riding to be somewhat more small "c" conservative. The race will be between the CPC and the Liberals, although I am leaning to the CPC only as the CA and PC had a combined 61% vote total in 2000. | |||
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