Election Prediction Project
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Calgary Southeast

Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
12:16 PM 5/28/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
1:06 AM 17/03/2004

Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

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Jason Kenney
Brian Pincott
Green Party/Parti Vert:
George Read
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Jim Tanner

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Calgary Southeast (100.0%)
Jason Kenney

2000 Result/Résultats:
30,547 63.00%
10,219 21.08%
5,890 12.15%
994 2.05%
838 1.73%

Calgary Southeast
(183/208 polls, 76556/85337 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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25/05/04 James
Email: [hidden]
Although Mr. Kenney's victory is a forgone conclusion, his mere presence on the electoral stage makes Red Tories shudder. This has bearings far outside of Calgary-SE, since Red Tories everywhere would seriously consider a vote for the *other* party, rather than see a person with strong social conservative views help form the government. Red Tories will most likely be the king-makers in this election. As such, the Conservatives would be well advised to publicly distance themselves from strong social conservative candidates, such as Mr. Kenney and Mr. Anders, without insulting this small but committed base of support.
13/04/04 Jake Stephens
Email: [hidden]
Kenny has been frozen out by Harper. Harper knows who his enemies are. Kenny is a loud mouth but should be elected despite his obvious shortcomings.
01/04/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
Jason Kenny is one of the "all star" candidates for this new party. Bi-Lingual, popular, well knowen, and experinces, he is an all-round great candidate for any party. As a Conservative in Calgary, his chances of getting elected go from 100% to 110%
18/03/04 Jason Colpitts
Email: jbcolpitts@shaw.ca
I never said I was personally tired of Kenney, I just
said some in the riding might be. I'm a registered
member of the CPC, so I'm behind Kenney...
17/03/04 Bear and Ape
Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com
Jason kenny may be tiresome (we're gald to see that others feel this way), but he will not loose his seat. It's unlikely any Alberta Conservatives will loose their seats.
16/03/04 Jason C.
Email: jbcolpitts@shaw.ca
Conservatives in a cakewalk - even if some voters are a litte tired of Kenney, it's not going to stop this heavily conservative riding - or for that matter, city - heck, province :D
16/03/04 RWA
Combined conservative vote of over 70% in 2000. MP Kenney has risen in profile during this term and he'll be sent back to Ottawa.
15/03/04 Bill Jarvis
Email: billjarvis@canada.com
Combined vote from 2000 would be over 80% for CPC. Incumbent (Kenney) is high profile.

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