Election Prediction Project
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Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
2:24 PM 6/26/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
6:57 PM 18/03/2004

Constituency Profile
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Shawn McKee
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Kelsey Pearson
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Del Price
Gerry Ritz
Christian Héritage Chrétien:
Diane Stephan

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Battlefords-Lloydminster (100.0%)
Gerry Ritz

2000 Result/Résultats:
17,468 60.43%
5,015 17.35%
4,977 17.22%
1,444 5.00%
0 0.00%

(168/168 polls, 49055/49055 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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23/06/04 Victor A.
Email: hombresvic@hotmail.com
The Saskatchewan prediction.
As much as it pains me to say that, I believe that the CPC will win 10 seats in Saskatchewan while the NDP will win 3 and the Liberals 1.
CPC will gain Pallister, on the other hand they will lose Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre to the NDP. The NDP will barely retain Regina Qu'Appelle but Dick Proctor will probably lose, which is unfortunate but what can we do. On the other hand, they should gain Churchill-River, even with a rather unknown candidate. The Liberals will keep Wascana as their only sit in this province.
21/06/04 Dave Inglis
Email: [hidden]
At first I assumed conservative landslide, Ritz is well liked in the riding. Look for much lower numbers this time though. Some friends live in Lloydminster and they suggest that Ritz is going to lose a lot of votes for denying the $250000 fine to the packers. Ritz is one of only two conservative M.P.s to vote against the fine, which needed to be unanimous for passing. Farmers now know they have been gouged by the packers, and they can hold a grudge. Conservatives will still take it, but look for lower numbers.
25/05/04 JCM
Email: [hidden]
The Conservatives will win this seat, but watch for the party's vote to be eroded in this constituency by both the NDP and Liberal candidates. The win will still be comfortable for the Conservativds, but not as overwhelming as last time.
06/05/04 E. Andrew Washburn
Email: [hidden]
I'd give the NDP a reasonable shot at this riding if the Conservative vote hadn't been so high last election. Certainly 17% for the NDP in 2000 gives them a shot at winning most ridings in Canada, but I think the Alliance vote of over 60% is way to high to catch. Plus, this riding is rural Saskatchewan, close to Alberta which means very Conservative. In Saskatchewan rural means tory, urban means NDP in provincial politics, which can be seen generally in Federal politics as well.
17/03/04 BAQ
Email: bquiring@sasktel.net
Conservatives should face little conpetition for this seat. Ritz will easy return to the Commons
17/03/04 RWA
Email: radams2@uwo.ca
The total conservatie vote in 2000 was over 65% with nearly a 50% lead over the Grits and NDP. This should be an easy Conservative hold.
17/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
The NDP would need to gain 20% of the vote, and the tories lose the same, just for the New Democratic candidate to be within striking distance. I doubt that the conservatives will be un-seated here

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