Election Prediction Project
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Bourassa
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
6:49 PM 6/26/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
9:18 PM 18/03/2004



Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

Candidates/candidats:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
(Liens? Voir les détails de patronage.)
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Denis Coderre
Parti Marijuana Party:
Philippe Gauvin
Conservatives/Conservateurs:
Frédéric Grenier
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Noémi Lopinto
Bloc Québécois:
Doris Provencher
Marxist-Leninist:
Geneviève Royer
N.D.P./N.P.D.:
Stefano Saykaly

Population 2001
populations
99,862
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs
72138

Incumbents/Les députés:
Ahuntsic (6.4%)
Hon. Eleni Bakopanos
Anjou-Rivière-des-Prairies (0.2%)
Hon. Yvon Charbonneau
Bourassa (93.4%)
Hon. Denis Coderre

2000 Result/Résultats:
Redistributed
26,362 61.38%
12,299 28.64%
1,508 3.51%
1,446 3.37%
OTHERS
1,334 3.11%

Ahuntsic
(16/226 polls, 4606/81114 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
1686
999
92
50
131
OTHER
90

Anjou-Rivière-des-Prairies
(3/177 polls, 167/74557 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
101
19
6
1
2
OTHER
2

Bourassa
(184/188 polls, 67365/67365 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
24575
11281
1410
730
1313
OTHER
461



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24/06/04 Neal
Email: nealford@sympatico.ca
Chateau Fort Liberale? En 1993 Osvaldo Nunez a emporté cette comté pour Le Bloc. Avec la croissance du Conservateur et le Bloc vis-vis les Liberaux au Quebec, M Coderre devrait faire des plans pour apres le 28 juin.
Victoire Bloc, mais serré.
13/05/04 Stéphane Gaudet
Email: [hidden]
Denis Coderre sera aisément réélu dans cette circonscription libérale imprenable.
19/04/04 Bear and Ape
Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com
Coderre is popular enough and there is enough of a non-francophone vote to ensure a Liberal victory. The BQ victory in 93 was a result of anger over the failure of the Meech Lake accord and the popularity of Bouchard. Neither of those are there and (we feel) that much of the current mass support for the BQ is soft support and will erode (though not enough to save many Quebec Liberal MPs).
27/03/04 Victor A.
Email: hombresvic@hotmail.com
Ryan, I would not call it a Liberal stronghold. We have to take into account that Coderre once lost there in the past against a Bloc candidate, so if Bloc could find an exceptional candidate they could have a chance. This is a lower middle-class area, a lot of people of Haitian. Latin-American and Italian background. Rather high number of organized crime for the Montreal Island. Coderre should win, but it's not sure.
17/03/04 RWA
Email: ryanadams78@hotmail.com
I'm not sure if Denis Coderre is running again, but either way the Liberals will hold on to this Montreal stronghold.


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