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Armstrong-Giroux, Eric |  |
Collard, Lucille |  |
Corcoran, Coreen |  |
Evans, Lyra |  |
Hamilton, Blake |  |
Mayangi, Patrick |  |
Mcgruer, David |  |
Pastien, Michael |  |
Proulx, Christian |
Incumbent:
| Lucille Collard |
Population (2016): |
111508 |
| Population (2011): | 110999 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
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| |  |
NATHALIE DES ROSIERS * |
| 20,555 | 42.86% |
|  |
LYRA EVANS |
| 14,232 | 29.68% |
|  |
FADI NEMR |
| 10,252 | 21.38% |
|  |
SHEILAGH MCLEAN |
| 1,955 | 4.08% |
|  |
KEEGAN BENNETT |
| 413 | 0.86% |
|  |
KEN LEWIS |
| 332 | 0.69% |
|  |
DAVID MCGRUER |
| 219 | 0.46% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
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|  |
23,392 | 55.16% |
|  |
9,763 | 23.02% |
|  |
5,564 | 13.12% |
|  |
3,311 | 7.81% |
| OTHERS |
377 | 0.89% |
| Total Transposed |
42,406 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Ottawa-Vanier
(93.41% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Ottawa-Orléans
(6.59% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
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2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Mona Fortier ** |
| 32,679 | 51.20% |
|  |
Stéphanie Mercier |
| 13,516 | 21.20% |
|  |
Joel E. Bernard |
| 11,118 | 17.40% |
|  |
Oriana Ngabirano |
| 4,796 | 7.50% |
|  |
Paul Durst |
| 1,064 | 1.70% |
|  |
Derek Miller |
| 229 | 0.40% |
|  |
Joel Altman |
| 211 | 0.30% |
|  |
Michelle Paquette |
| 115 | 0.20% |
| |
Daniel James McHugh |
| 94 | 0.10% |
|  |
Christian Legeais |
| 59 | 0.10% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Mauril Bélanger ** |
| 36,474 | 57.60% |
|  |
Emilie Taman |
| 12,194 | 19.20% |
|  |
David Piccini |
| 12,109 | 19.10% |
|  |
Nira Dookeran |
| 1,947 | 3.10% |
|  |
Coreen Corcoran |
| 503 | 0.80% |
|  |
Christian Legeais |
| 128 | 0.20% |
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| 29/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| This area has elected Liberals provincially since the 70's, in 2022 that trend will continue. |
| 28/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| Despite a good go of things in 2018 by the NDP, this is probably among the safest seats for the Liberals in Ontario. |
| 17/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| The only 40%+ Lib result in '18--let that speak for itself. But one of those seats where if the Libs disappeared tomorrow, it'd likely go NDP--and unlike Ottawa South, not so much of a "recent-in-making" circumstance. |
| 25/02/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| 1 of only 2 ridings to have had by elections since the last provincial election and liberals held the seat rather easily although vote occurred just before covid pandemic hit. riding has a long liberal history although new mpp Lucille Collard isn?¢â‚¬â„¢t well known. |
| 07/06/21 |
Libby Burgundy
198.91.168.152 |
Based on current polling trends, the Liberals should have no problem holding onto the seats they won in 2018, including Vanier.
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