Kiiwetinoong

	Dornn, Alex
	Foster, Suzette A.
	Mamakwa, Sol
	Michelizzi, Manuela
	Monck, Dwight

Incumbent:

		Sol Mamakwa
Population (2016):
Population (2011):			32987
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
		SOL MAMAKWA
		3,232	49.90%
		CLIFFORD BULL
		1,765	27.25%
		DOUG LAWRANCE
		983	15.18%
		CHRISTINE PENNER POLLE
		406	6.27%
		KENNETH JONES
		91	1.40%
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
		995	18.74%
		639	12.03%
		3,479	65.50%
		198	3.74%
	OTHERS		!Syntax Error, *%
	Total Transposed		5,312
Component Riding(s)
	Kenora-Rainy River (100.00% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
2021 Federal Election Prediction
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Eric Melillo
		9,445	34.00%
		Bob Nault **
		8,335	30.00%
		Rudy Turtle
		7,923	28.50%
		Kirsi Ralko
		1,526	5.50%
		Michael Di Pasquale
		388	1.40%
		Kelvin Boucher-Chicago
		170	0.60%
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Bob Nault
		10,918	35.50%
		Howard Hampton
		10,420	33.90%
		Greg Rickford **
		8,751	28.50%
		Ember C. McKillop
		501	1.60%
		Kelvin Boucher-Chicago
		162	0.50%

	01/06/2022	NJam101 216.167.228.27
I'm pretty sure that Sol will be re-elected. The NDP is pretty popular among most Indigenous peoples in Northern Ontario and I'm quite sure that Mamakwa hasn't lost support in First Nations. In order for the PC candidate to have a chance, he would pretty much have to get every vote in Sioux Lookout and in any other tiny non-reserve community. That's very unlikely of course.
	30/05/2022	Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105
I'm in Newfoundland and Labrador but do follow trends in politics across the country. We have a similar riding here in this province that is made up of Indigenous or first nations people. That makes the riding unpredictable because of the low population. That said I see this riding staying NDP on june 2
	27/04/22	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
Sometimes there low-population ridings are hard to predict since big swings can happen rapidly, and results are often dependent less on party loyalty and more on geographical bases for the candidates. Seems like NDP incumbent Sol Mamakwa has a good chance of getting back in, but anything could happen.
	21/04/22	A.S. 99.225.52.35
If anything explains why the Tories won decisively in Red Lake (and Ear Falls--and for that matter, the present Tory candidate's hometown of Pickle Lake), it's northern resource-town populism (that plus vote splitting in Red Lake due to overperformance by a high-profile Green candidate). Sioux Lookout, by comparison, is more of a regional service town for the reserves, with more melting-pot moderation and less racialized hostility. But yeah, watch that populism--it might not rob Mamakwa of his seat, but it certainly helped rob him of his majority in '18, and in a seat of special interest drawn in his favour, he won with a lower or barely higher share than either Howard Hampton or Sarah Campbell enjoyed in the pre-split Kenora-Rainy River this century. And if you recombined it with KRR, the Tories would still have had the plurality in '18. Still, Mamakwa would only lose *now* in the event of a total collapse or US-GOP-style suppression of the FN vote (and even the Ford Tories aren't so dumb as to try *that*).
	25/02/22	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Sol Mamakwa was rather unknown when first elected in this new riding although managed to get some profile when he was mpp at queens park so likely he?¢â‚¬â„¢ll keep this riding another term.
	14/08/21	EP 45.41.168.91
Of the two far-north ridings Wynne created to boost indigenous representation, this one is the only truly predominantly indigenous riding, so to understand this riding, one must understand FN voting dynamic. Many of the remote reserves belong to Nishnawbe Aski Nation (NAN) (which makes up half of the riding and has generally been NDP leaning) voted 80%+, or even 90%+, consistently for the NDP in both provincial and federal elections in the last 10 years. That forms are very strong and unshakable base for them in any election. The facts that Mamakwa is from a NAN FN and that he worked for the NAN political body only further solidified his lead in those polls. In the last election, both PC and Liberal nominated strong local leaders from Sioux Lookout, the only large population centre in the riding. (PC candidate being the chief of the large FN community right outside the city, and Liberal candidate being the very well-liked mayor of the city, both were re-elected in subsequent elections) Despite that, Mamakwa still managed to essentially tie for first place in the Sioux Lookout and surrounding polls. The only community where another candidate beat Mamakwa decisively was Red Lake (unsure why, assuming the PC candidate was backed by prominent local leaders). Should be an easy NDP hold.