Abbott, Ryan
	Andhi, Sonia
	Bains, Tina
	Kennedy, Joe
	Kongyuy, Felix
	Pielak, Kevin
	Sarai, Randeep
Incumbent:
	Randeep Singh Sarai

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			120172 111486 44202 41054 40.34 km² 2978.80/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Randeep Singh Sarai **	15453	37.40%
	Sarjit Singh Saran	11353	27.50%
	Tina Bains	10505	25.40%
	John Werring	2558	6.20%
	Jaswinder Singh Dilawari	709	1.70%
	Kevin Pielak	378	0.90%
	Jeffrey Breti	243	0.60%
	George Gidora	120	0.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Randeep Sarai	19471	45.10%
	Jasbir Sandhu **	12992	30.10%
	Sucha Thind	8556	19.80%
	Jeremiah Deneault	1493	3.50%
	Kevin Pielak	553	1.30%
	Iqbal Kahlon	133	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		11618	35.66%
		13040	40.02%
		5787	17.76%
		1186	3.64%
Other		948	2.91%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Surrey North    (99.94% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	16/09/21	Physastr Master 72.182.100.229
I don't think the swings currently seen in BC are enough to flip this, however this is a riding with large Sikh population, so there is a Jagmeet Singh wild card that could magically pull it off. I had more faith in that magic last time and was wrong. This time around I'm not feeling like that magic's any stronger, so I'm not holding my breath. Liberal Hold.
	16/09/21	George 104.232.37.224
Mainstreet of Sept 4 had a healthy lead among decided voters, 40 Liberal to 24 NDP and 23 Con. Maybe things have shifted since then, but that is a notable lead. https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/SurreyCentre-iPolitics-04September2021.pdf
	14/09/21	Nick M. 172.219.67.212
NDP are very well organized throughout Greater Vancouver Area. In close rematches were LPC nudged out NDP in BC, look for NDP to come out on top this time.
	03/09/21	Dr Bear 45.72.243.18
While the NDP are currently doing better in BC than in 2019, that is largely at the expense of the Greens. Both the Liberals and the Conservatives are polling close to what they got in 2019. That would suggest to me that Surrey Centre is moderately safe for the Liberals (for the moment).
	02/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Randeep Sarni was first elected here in 2015 and re elected in 2019. But this riding has the reputation of being a swing riding so been held by many different mp’s and parties over the years including ndp and conservative. Tina Bains has returned as the cpc candidate this year and ndp have a new candidate Sonia Andhi . so depends what happens in BC this election
	27/08/21	EAW 174.115.44.111
This was an NDP-Conservative swing riding (when it was Surrey North) before the Trudeau wave in 2015. I do wonder with the NDP doing a lot better in BC if this riding should be too close to call at the very least now?
	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
The problem w/the Liberals-holding-this-comfortably assessment is that 37.4% is a bit of a danger-zone share for the Libs--we're not talking about a Surrey Newton-level cushion here; and indeed, pre-2015, this *was* the sort of riding where provincial NDP support translated into federal NDP support, it's just that Justinmania opened up a latency that was always there. Yet '19 illuminated how vulnerable that latency really was...though rather ambiguously; in fact, the Cons were the bigger beneficiaries from the leakage, pressing uncomfortably close to the NDP for 2nd--and moreover, getting a lot of poll success out Guildford way (by comparison, the NDP tended to tag-team the Libs a lot more). For all one knows, we could have a 3-way in the works...
	21/07/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
The Liberals will hold this comfortably. This is not the type of riding where BC NDP support translates into federal NDP support. Despite the industrial nature of the riding, it is ultimately still suburban and rapidly gentrifying. Barring an NDP surge to around 24% nationally and a simultaneous Liberal meltdown to at least 5% below the Conservatives, this will stay Liberal.