Herbert, Tanya
	Logan, Nigel
	Melanson, Don
	Sohi, Amarjeet
	Uppal, Tim
	Young, Annie
Incumbent:
	Amarjeet Sohi

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			118561 106103 40356 39049 51.42 km² 2305.9/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Amarjeet Sohi	20423	41.20%
	Tim Uppal **	20331	41.10%
	Jasvir Deol	6330	12.80%
	Ralph McLean	1096	2.20%
	Colin Stubbs	560	1.10%
	Allen K.W. Paley	396	0.80%
	Peter Downing	285	0.60%
	Naomi Rankin	96	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		20895	58.94%
		9005	25.40%
		4157	11.73%
		1062	3.00%
Other		335	0.94%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	21/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
This election was very close in 2015, in 2019 I think it will go back to the CPC.
	25/09/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Is an article in the hill times about this riding, I think the title speaks for itself and the reality a liberal candidate faces in alberta this election. ‘Sohi is in huge trouble’: besieged minister Amarjeet Sohi fights to keep his seat https://www.hilltimes.com/2019/09/23/sohi-is-in-huge-trouble-besieged-minister-amarjeet-sohi-fights-to-keep-his-seat/216068
	21/09/19	Eddie E 223.189.8.106
Sohi just snuck in under the Justinmania wave in 2015, but doesn’t stand a chance this time. Despite Sohi’s status as incumbent Minister the Liberal brand here will hurt him more this time than it helped him last time. Easy Con victory, though it will be closer than most Alberta ridings.
	15/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
It wasn't the Liberals who held it through 2004, so much as it was ex-PC David Kilgour, one might argue. But still, Edmonton's ethnoburban SE operates like Calgary's ethnoburban NE in being more ‘naturally’ Lib-congenial than the suburban-Alberta norm; and it helped in '15 that the Liberals offered a more-than-just-nominal candidate at a time when their federal prospects in Alberta (following their provincial cratering) looked like third-place toast. Which paid off (albeit by a hail-Mary millimetre) once Justinmania took off. Now re the Uppal-Sohi rematch...yes, Alberta and Justin might seem to go together like oil and water (ouch), but we know from Landslide Annie that once a Liberal gets an electoral toe in the door and into cabinet out Edmonton way, he/she might *not* be as easy to dislodge as it might appear, particularly when it's not clear that the Con forces are on an inevitable path to victory. And remember: despite all appearances, there are *both* NotleyLibs *and* KenneyLibs out there.
	15/09/19	The Jackal 99.236.206.117
I don't think Suhi will retain this as the members are too low for the Liberal here. not to mention Trudeau is despised here
	02/09/19	South Islander 205.250.53.29
I think Sohi has a better shot than people think. LPC held the predecessor riding in 2004 when they lost Alberta 61/22. They lost it badly in 2006 when they lost the province by 65/15 and Kilgour had left the party. The provincial election in May showed just how increasingly polarized the province is, with the NDP winning most of Edmonton despite losing overall by 22%. Polling puts the Conservatives and LPC near 2004 levels in Alberta. The LPC will likely win overall simply because, barring a recession, it is exceedingly rare for governments in Canada not to be given a second term, and suspect that this will be clear by election day. If they do, they will probably lose Alberta by less than 38% with support concentrated enough to hold this and Edmonton Centre.
	01/09/19	Steve Smith 68.149.42.186
Sohi barely won last time. Liberal fortunes nationally have declined since last time. Liberal fortunes in Alberta have *markedly* declined since last time. I don't see an argument for anything but a Conservative win here.
	31/08/19	Nick M. 68.148.140.204
A squeaker win and and polls down for Liberals in Alberta. The Enthusiasm from the volunteers in Edmonton is conservative this election. This is just too easy for a conservative pick up. Unless the Liberals try and pool their resources to save this seat. I had a buddy who would never volunteer again, he was volunteering for Mike Harris. The amount of hate he got while canvassing was just too much. In this case, the amount of angry voters these young Liberal volunteers would come into contact, is too discouraging to mount a strong local campaign.
	06/07/19	Lolitha 75.152.255.82
It will be very hard for the Liberals to hold Mill Woods. It will be a fight for them to hold any of their Alberta seats, and this was a tiny margin last time around. Prime target seat for the Cons.
	20/04/19	Craig 24.213.108.184
100 votes was the difference here in 2015 and that was in a good year for the Liberals. Given that they have tanked in the polls in the Prairies and the NDP is quite weak here federally, that alone should flip this back. That said, the provincial NDP did hold on here, so it shouldn't be a blowout result. It's true that this is a very multicultural riding, but many here work in the oil sector. They are very angry at Trudeau and that was reinforced by the SNC-Lavalin scandal. In the future, this will likely flip back under a different Liberal leader, but for 2019, Tim Uppal should be heading back to Ottawa.
	16/04/19	Laurence Putnam 50.68.187.24
Uppal got basically the same number of votes, over 20,000 in 2011 as he did in 2015. In the year of Trudeaumania 2.0 the Libs snatched it away with a 0.1% margin of victory. Safe to say Uppal will hang onto his consistent base of 20,000 votes and probably get a few more. On the other hand, it would be foolish to say that the Liberals are going to hang onto their support from last time, and downright moronic to suggest support would have gone up. In all likelihood, the way things are shaping up I would expect Uppal to crush it by 10 points.
	06/04/19	Legolas 109.70.100.19
Uppal barely lost for the CPC last time and with the Liberals significantly down in the province and the CPC up, this is a lock for a CPC pick-up.
	02/03/19	Sam 86.153.36.235
This riding is obviously going to be vulnerable; the Liberals won by fewer than 100 votes last time. Having said that, their vote share may hold up in a multicultural riding and a more progressive area than the rest of Alberta, but the Conservatives will want to oust the sitting minister and will target this heavily.