Election Prediction Project

Calgary Rocky Ridge
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:14

Constituency Profile


Kathol, Todd

Kelly, Pat

LeBlanc Fortin, Nathan

Poulin, Tyler

Wang, Shaoli

Wright, Catriona


Pat Kelly

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



91.17 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Pat Kelly 3822960.40%
Nirmala Naidoo 2003831.70%
Stephanie Kot 36655.80%
Catriona Wright 13602.10%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 510.12%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Calgary-Nose Hill
   (65.97% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Calgary West
   (33.75% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Wild Rose
   (0.28% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

09/10/19 R.O.
Cpc mp Pat Kelly was first elected here in 2015. cpc is polling better in alberta this year and he should hold the seat.
16/09/19 A.S.
Here, despite a reasonable share by suburban-Calgary standards (could it be a U of Calgary-outer-orbit thing? or a road-to-Banff-and-Canmore thing?), the Libs only won *one* poll in 2015. Ho hum.
19/07/19 Laurence Putnam
The fact that this appears to be one of the better ridings for Liberals in Alberta despite the fact that they still lost 2-1 in one of their best election years in decades, really goes to show how far gone the Liberals are in Alberta.
16/03/19 Sam
One of the group of good ridings for Conservatives in Calgary, it's certain to go Conservative again.
22/02/19 JW
The CPC won 60%+ last time during a downswing election. Not going to loose this seat this time.

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