Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Calgary Midnapore
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:09
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Aalto, Brian

Bhachu, Gurmit

Gao, Edward

Kusie, Stephanie

Stasila, Taylor


Incumbent:

Stephanie Kusie

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

121844
111227

45894
44792

83.72 km²
1455.4/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Jason Kenney ** 4241566.70%
Haley Brown 1439622.60%
Laura Weston 49157.70%
Brennan Wauters 16912.70%
Peggy Askin 1450.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3702175.90%
514610.55%
31246.40%
31376.43%
Other 3450.71%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Calgary Southeast
   (72.98% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Calgary Southwest
   (26.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Macleod
   (0.99% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


09/10/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
Stephanie Kusie easily held this seat for the cpc in the 2017 by election after longtime mp Jason Kenney left for provincial politics. Would seem to be an easy cpc hold this year .
16/09/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
As with Stephen Harper, Jason Kenney suffered the ‘humiliation’ of falling short of a complete sweep in 2015: a pair of polls along the Macleod Trail in the NW went Liberal. Though unlike in Calgary-Heritage, the subsequent byelection swept them *all*--ah, back to normal.
29/05/19 Sam
86.139.28.223
The only thing that would differentiate here from other safe Calgary ridings was that it was a strong area for the Wildrose Party. Now even that has disappeared - it's a plain Conservative riding.
20/02/19 JW
45.41.168.98
The CPC won 60%+ last time during a downswing election. Not going to loose this seat this time.



Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster