Election Prediction Project

Calgary Forest Lawn
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:05

Constituency Profile


Anand, Jag

Carnegie, William

Hallan, Jasraj Singh

Levesque, Dave

Nichols, Brent

Pimlott, Joe

Ryder, William James

Sutherland, Esther

Trautman, Jonathan


Deepak Obhrai

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



53.02 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Deepak Obhrai ** 1969448.00%
Cam Stewart 1476236.00%
Abdou Souraya 40069.80%
Judson Hansell 12293.00%
Matt Badura 8322.00%
Jason Devine 3901.00%
Max Veress 1340.30%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 2270.73%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Calgary East
   (63.14% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Calgary Northeast
   (36.81% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (0.04% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

20/08/20 A.S.
And as it turned out, God had the final word on whether Deepak was going back to Ottawa or not. But, all tasteless "Forest Lawn" joking aside, his passing has no impact on the seat's safety. Though judging from the closer-than-expected 2015 result, it *could* have been vulnerable were Justin poised to build on his Alberta inroads; but such is not presently the case.
18/07/19 Laurence Putnam
Deepak has become an institution. The only place he's going is back to Ottawa.
04/03/19 Lolitha
Will likely remain Conservative, Liberals will have a harder time in Calgary this election.
03/03/19 Sam
This riding is unlikely to swing heavily to the Conservatives, but the Liberals were 12 points and are unlikely to gain that on the Conservatives; unless the Conservatives tanked they would have to take all the NDP and Green votes. This is not the best riding for the Conservatives in Calgary, but Centre, Confederation and Skyview are going to be the battlegrounds, and the Liberals are not likely to target this.

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