Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Sturgeon River-Parkland


Prediction Changed
2015-03-23 23:02:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Ambrose, Rona

Chauvet, Ernest

Desforges, Guy

Dueck, Travis

Greene, Brendon


Population/populations
(2011 census)

105733


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

3378977.49%
565712.97%
23855.47%
17423.99%
Other 350.08%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Edmonton-Spruce Grove
   (108/197 polls, 60.22% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Rona Ambrose
20765
3124
1493
956


   Westlock-St. Paul
   (73/197 polls, 34.83% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Brian Storseth
11035
2172
821
669


   Yellowhead
   (16/197 polls, 4.95% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Jim Eglinski
1989
361
71
117
Other35



 


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15 10 06 R.O.
24.146.23.226
This is Rona Ambrose's new riding as she doesn't appear to be running in city of Edmonton but rather a rural riding beside the city . a riding that should stay conservative
15 09 12 A.S.
99.233.125.239
Nice way to escape any would be Notley-copycat hatchet: in the event of redistribution, go rural. Thus ensuring that Rona Ambrose's support remains as rock-solid as her hairdo.
15 09 08 Nick M.
207.228.78.224
It will go Conservative. I just don't understand who feels the need to remove the NDP signs next to the Rona Ambrose signs on public property.
waiting for Rona to knock on my door, so I can give my 2 cents about her tenure as Heath minister.
15 07 30 John
162.157.188.39
Rona Ambrose is a high profile Conservative cabinet minister. I think this riding will go Conservative.
15 03 29 monkey
174.114.31.13
Not that there was any question of Rona Ambrose winning her seat, but losing the Edmonton portions, this just ensures she wins by an even bigger margin.
15 03 25 Dr Bear
174.89.199.19
The most interesting thing about this race is that the incumbent's name is Ronalee. Who knew that? I always knew her as Rona!
Easy CPC hold.
15 03 23 JW
99.232.118.35
While a selected few (very few, if any) ridings in Edmonton or even Calgary may end up being competitive at some point of the campaign, rural Alberta will continue to be solid Conservative territory. Remember, the last time rural Alberta returned a non-Conservative/PC/Reform/Alliance MP was 1968 (two that election, and one of them started with the Social Credits).



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