Election Prediction Project
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Canada Federal Election - 2015

Calgary Shepard


Prediction Changed
2015-03-25 21:30:23
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Allard, Dany

James, Jerome

Kmiec, Tom

MacKenzie, Graham


Population/populations
(2011 census)

110296


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

2990575.51%
440711.13%
28467.19%
22025.56%
Other 2400.61%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Calgary Southeast
   (100/185 polls, 63.92% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Jason Kenney
19721
2523
1562
1384
Other151


   Calgary East
   (80/185 polls, 35.61% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Deepak Obhrai
10071
1873
1279
813
Other88


   Crowfoot
   (5/185 polls, 0.47% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Kevin Sorenson
113
11
5
5
Other1



 


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15 09 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
The northernmost part actually belongs to NDP powerhouse Joe Ceci provincially; but that's but a rump within a growing expanse that mostly consists of shaved-off Jason Kenney turf. And the simple name 'Jason Kenney' should suffice to explain where this one is going.
15 09 18 R.O.
24.146.23.226
This is a new and also open riding however in a very historically conservative part of Calgary . Tom Kmiec is the new conservative candidate. I'm surprised they didn't find someone higher profile as a lot of high profile conservative mp's are from Calgary.
15 03 25 Jack Cox
69.165.234.184
There are competitive ridings in Calgary now, but this definitely isn't one of them.



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