Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Trois-Rivières


Prediction Changed
2015-03-22 18:46:27
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Aubin, Robert

Boivin, Yvon

Rousseau, Maxime

Therrien, Dominic

Trottier, Éric

Valois, André


Population/populations
(2011 census)

108774


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

748313.15%
2828049.70%
570710.03%
1377524.21%
10791.90%
Other 5831.02%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Trois-Rivières
   (210/267 polls, 75.89% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Robert Aubin
5201
22833
3257
10237
825
Other514


   Berthier-Maskinongé
   (57/267 polls, 24.11% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Ruth Ellen Brosseau
2282
5447
2450
3538
254
Other69



 


Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

15 09 22 A.S.
99.233.125.239
Yeah, Trois-Rivieres a bit of a 'modern Bloc-turned-NDP' archetype that way: CEGEPpy to the max, and also more of a long-established 'inner city' seat than your average 450er to the west. *No way* in the present will it shift away--particularly given how unlike Sherbrooke, the NDP in 2011 *doubled* the Bloc vote, rather than simply reducing it to a manageable 30something...
15 04 26 Stevo
78.203.102.215
If you had to pick a handful of Quebec ridings where the Orange Crush is likely to endure for a long time, Trois-Rivières would be one of them. It's tailor-made for the NDP : a gentrifying industrial city with a VERY large student population as a proportion of the total. It would take an NDP collapse in the province for any other party to win here. Big win here for the Mulcair-led NDP.
15 03 28 monkey
174.114.31.13
Likely will stay NDP, but Quebec is unpredictable so that could always change.
15 03 22 Dr. Bear
66.49.210.99
Aubin is a big-wig in the NDP caucus and without a significant challenger from any of the other parties, this riding will stay NDP orange.



Navigate to Canada 2015 Home | Provincial Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2015
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Justice Quest Communications, 1999-2015 - Email Webmaster