Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Thérèse-De Blainville


Prediction Changed
2015-03-25 21:21:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Ayoub, Ramez

Carkner, Andrew

Giguère, Alain

Guindon, Daniel

Marginean, Alain

Puga, Manuel


Population/populations
(2011 census)

98499


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

47159.76%
2418150.04%
496110.27%
1345627.85%
10122.09%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Terrebonne-Blainville
   (88/182 polls, 54.33% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Charmaine Borg
2465
12710
2592
6829
472


   Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
   (94/182 polls, 45.67% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Alain Giguère
2250
11471
2369
6627
540



 


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15 09 20 A.S.
99.233.125.239
With Quebec's seat totals up (at last!) through Harper-style redistribution, this is in effect a 'new seat' where an existing Orange Crusher is bidding--and with the Bloc's collapse, all but guaranteed to prevail, an NDP version of those 'new' (intended-to-be-)guaranteed-HarperCon seats in suburban Toronto, Calgary, Vancouver, et al. Yawn.
15 09 17 #ABC51
24.212.221.36
While the NDP will lose some ground to the Liberals among non-Francophone voters, all signs point to a continued collapse of the Bloc Québécois vote to the benefit of Team Mulcair. Look for the the BQ to finish with no seats on October 19.
15 03 28 monkey
174.114.31.13
A fairly nationalist riding so should probably go NDP, but I am holding off calling as Quebecers are known for switching on a moment's notice.
15 03 25 Jack Cox
69.165.234.184
Alain Giguere switched ridings to run in this seat, probably because it's safer.



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