Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Brampton-Springdale


Prediction Changed
2014-06-11 08:09:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Dhillon, Gurpreet

Hill, Elizabeth

Hundal, Pam

Malhi, Harinder

Zarrabi Yan, Laila

Incumbent:
Linda Jeffrey

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Brampton-Springdale)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * LINDA JEFFREY
    1566344.43%
    PAM HUNDAL
    1275436.17%
    MANI SINGH
    537815.25%
    JAMES DUNCAN
    9002.55%
    BART WYSOKINSKI
    1930.55%
    ELIZABETH ROWLEY
    1520.43%
    JASBIR SINGH
    1360.39%
    FAUZIA SADIQ
    810.23%
    2007 Result:
    * LINDA JEFFREY
    17,67350.66%
    CARMAN MCCLELLAND
    10,70830.70%
    MANI SINGH
    3,80010.89%
    DANIEL CULLEN
    2,2926.57%
    SANDY TOTEDA
    2580.74%
    ELIZABETH ROWLEY
    1520.44%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1477945.63%
    1251038.62%
    377411.65%


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    14 06 07
    99.231.139.81
    Brampton-Springdale (polled May 29, 531 people, accurate to within 5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20) Liberal Harinder Malhi 38 per cent, Progressive Conservative Pam Hundal 34 per cent, New Democrat Gurpreet Singh Dhillon 19 per cent, Green Laila Zarrabi Yan 4 per cent.
    14 06 08 LFC Ottawa
    67.70.87.141
    Hundal has ran before, and has been canvassing before Malhi was nominated. This will be a rare PC seat in the GTA.
    14 05 27 Lloyd Fournier
    99.227.144.7
    This riding is clearly PC this time. They are winning the battle of the signs and Hundal's team appears to have no limits on their youthful enthusiasm. Speaking with knowledgeable voters in this riding, the stink of the years of Liberal scandals is dominant. Had Jeffery not cut and run, she would have suffered an embarrassing loss. The NDP candidate came across as puppet like in the televised debates and showed that he is out of his depth. This riding will be among the clearest PC wins. Strong candidate, great team effort taking place and a disgruntled voters base - paint this one PC blue.
    Cliffhanger
    192.110.160.235
    The NDP is running a star candidate (Gurpreet Dhillon) and a full campaign in Brampton Springdale. With no Liberal incumbent and the PC declining, watch as this riding becomes another surprise (ala Bramlea-Gore-Malton in 2011).
    14 05 22 Alice
    67.70.86.233
    With Linda Jeffrey's out this riding is going to be close. I'm predicting a very tight Liberal win.
    14 05 29 Arden
    24.212.218.226
    This will be a close race, particularly as an open seat, but the 905 region has appeared to have that much of a tremendous loss of Liberal support. Likely to stay with the party...
    14 05 29 R.O.
    24.146.23.226
    There is no incumbent in this riding as liberal Linda Jeffrey not running again . usually a race between liberals and pc's here , might be potential for ndp as well now that they hold other Brampton riding. Pam Hundal is the only candidate that has run in the riding before and had an ok result in 2011 . there is some potential in Peel for the pc's but liberals still have support in the suburbs near Toronto.
    14 05 16 kingstonstudent
    24.114.53.31
    This would normally be a strictly PC-Liberal affair, but all three major parties have had their circumstances change significantly in the past year. The budget was defeated before a by-election could be called to replace Linda Jeffrey, and as a result this is an open seat. For their part, the returning Tory candidate is a veteran campaigner but may have had her brand damaged by her husband's recent sexual assault charges. Finally, the NDP have recruited a self-described prot
    14 05 11 adma@rogers.com
    99.233.52.111
    Now an open seat, and Hundal's 2011 performance + Parm Gill's federal machine bodes well for the PCs on paper--however, a real wild-card factor seems to have emerged through the NDP apparently aggressively bidding for more than just Jagmeet Singh around these parts. So, whether or not it's hot air in the end. *definitely* watch this space...
    14 05 12 Lloyd Fournier
    99.227.144.7
    Even before all the scandals, the Jefferey vote count dropped last time out. The big factor there was that Linda was up against Pam Hundal who is very well known and popular. A cruise around the riding provides all indications that Pam Hundal's team hit the ground running while the Grits, who controlled the Writ are almost invisible at this point. Interesting that Jefferey who is running for mayor seems to be having the same fundraising difficulties as her former colleagues in the Ontario election. The waste of billions of by way of all the scandals lingers in voters' minds. I predict a clear Tory victory in this riding.
    14 05 11 adma@rogers.com
    99.233.52.111
    Now an open seat, and Hundal's 2011 performance + Parm Gill's federal machine bodes well for the PCs on paper--however, a real wild-card factor seems to have emerged through the NDP apparently aggressively bidding for more than just Jagmeet Singh around these parts. So, whether or not it's hot air in the end. *definitely* watch this space...
    14 03 29 Frank
    99.233.133.141
    What is happening now that Jeffery is trying to clean up city hall lol!? Who is expected to run for this seat in the election that is bound to come?
    13 04 02 KS
    70.26.158.63
    This riding will be too close to call till the last week of the election.
    In 2011, the Tories did slightly better in Brampton Springdale than most Liberal-held 905 ridings. This could be attributed to the organization and name recognition of Pam Hundal in this area. If the Tories are to pick up seats in the 905, this might be one of the first to turn Blue.
    On the other hand, the Liberals are still relatively strong in the 905. Incumbent MPP Linda Jeffrey has been elected multiple times and is also a cabinet minister.



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