Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Parry Sound-Muskoka


Prediction Changed
2013-02-13 18:35:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Miller, Norm

Mobbley, Clyde

Richter, Matt

Stivrins, Andy

Waters, Dan

Incumbent:
Norm Miller

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Parry Sound-Muskoka)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * NORM MILLER
    1941754.09%
    CINDY WATERS
    653718.21%
    ALEX ZYGANIUK
    652718.18%
    MATT RICHTER
    32519.06%
    ANDRIS STIVRINS
    1670.47%
    2007 Result:
    * NORM MILLER
    17,34847.22%
    BRENDA RHODES
    9,81926.73%
    SARA HALL
    5,01513.65%
    MATT RICHTER
    4,55712.40%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1127233.97%
    1589647.91%
    341210.28%


  •  


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    14 06 05 NJam101
    63.135.17.148
    Parry Sound and Muskoka are definitely not part of Northern Ontario. They are in Southern Ontario or Central Ontario but not Northern. Somebody mentioned that this riding is fairly WASP. Northern Ontario is not WASP and that is one cultural difference. Northern Ontario is North of the French River. It will be an easy re-election for Norm Miller.
    14 05 28 R.O.
    24.146.23.226
    Norm Miller should be able to hold onto the riding as he has held seat for a number of years and remains well liked . but expect the greens to do better here than before oddly enough as they have targeted this riding. I don't think liberals or ndp are going to be able to improve much on past results this year .
    14 05 23 A.S.
    99.233.52.111
    PSM may not seem particularly Northern, but it's not terribly Southern, either--in the end, its 'Northern' status derives from Parry Sound and Muskoka's history as districts, rather than counties. But it was interesting how only ten votes separated the Libs and NDP in '11--and big deal, as Son-Of-Frank walloped them both nearly three-to-one. But oh, we now have an ex-MPP facing the current MPP--trouble is, it's Rae-landslide-NDPer-turned-Liberal Dan Waters, and it was his wife Cindy who only scraped into second by 10 votes last time. Anyone betting on Norm's defeat now is looking as forlorn as an impounded Escalade without plates.
    14 05 19 nesooite
    173.76.174.83
    Agree with other posters that this is not a Northern riding. This plus Miller being virtually unbeatable. One of the safest Conservative seats in the province.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    Despite being technically part of Northern Ontario, its more Central Ontario as its fairly WASP, small town, and a weak labour movement so as is always the case, easy PC win.
    13 02 11 JB
    216.211.43.134
    This shouldn't be considered a northern riding, regardless it'll remain a PC hold under Miller.



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