Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Mississauga-Erindale


Prediction Changed
2014-05-13 09:07:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Bilek, Michelle

Gupta, Vivek

Jewell, Chris

Kiyani, Nabila

Takhar, Harinder

Vezina, Greg

White, Jeff

Incumbent:
Harinder Takhar

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Mississauga-Erindale)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * HARINDER TAKHAR
    2055245.03%
    DAVID BROWN
    1629435.7%
    MICHELLE BILEK
    776817.02%
    OTTO CASANOVA
    8531.87%
    GERALD JACKSON
    1760.39%
    2007 Result:
    * HARINDER TAKHAR
    21,55147.85%
    DAVID BROWN
    14,91333.11%
    SHAILA KIBRIA
    5,05611.23%
    RICHARD PIETRO
    3,5217.82%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    2037549.06%
    1613038.84%
    318107.66%


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    14 06 07 Toronto Star/Forum Poll
    99.231.139.81
    Mississauga-Erindale (polled Sunday, 457 people, accurate to within 5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20) Liberal Harinder Takhar 47 per cent, Progressive Conservative Jeff White 34 per cent, New Democrat Michelle Bilek 13 per cent, Green Vivek Gupta 3 per cent.
    14 05 26 A.S.
    99.233.52.111
    Actually, in the rawest terms, the likelier Mississauga seat to go Tory is M-South--after all, it was rock-hard Tory until Margaret Marland became an unextected McGuinty casualty in 2003. (Erindale only *seems* that way because it was the only federal Miss seat to flip in 2008.) A little odd that Takhar's running again, given how health issues & such curtailed his cabinet participation--then again, his power-broking leadership run was probably more net boost than liability...
    14 05 18 LB
    174.138.198.64
    Takhar is well known and a strong candidate. If the PCs pick up a seat in Mississauga it would likely be this one, but the PC ground game in the riding is very weak. Takhar is a very good campaigner. Won't be a high voter turnout, but for those who do - Takhar is their man.
    14 05 16 Art
    174.95.58.142
    Peel is the swing zone. PC voters are revving up to vote and Liberal voters are more likely to not vote. Once the debates pound home the billions of dollars in scandals and wastes, expect the PC revving to get much louder out here. Besides if you can't stomach PC, Gore Malton swung NDP in disgust. (Surprise!) Who needs the Liberals; NDP are the news Liberals. Takhar's disappearing act is a real drag for the Liberals here. PC will get out the vote.
    14 05 14 Dr Bear
    69.172.95.16
    A cautious nod to the Liberals. I thought the change from TCTC to OLP as premature but with recent polling numbers and Hazel McCallion's endorsement of Wynn as premier, I'd say this is staying Liberal for now.
    13 02 18 RMS
    99.230.75.102
    PC's have recruited the best school trustee our area has seen in years. Hard working, honest and knowledgeable. Takhar has taken a beating in the media and just might decide to spare himself the humiliation of losing. Liberals are polling third in the 905, but Erindale may be the only gain for the PC's.



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