Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Mississauga-Brampton South


Prediction Changed
2013-04-14 20:49:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Acheson, Kathy

Alilovic, Robert

Gill, Amarjeet

Levesque, Richard

Mangat, Amrit

Troake, Kevin

Vezina, Kathleen

Incumbent:
Amrit Mangat

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Mississauga-Brampton South)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * AMRIT MANGAT
    1557946.04%
    AMARJEET GILL
    1028730.4%
    KARANJIT PANDHER
    542016.02%
    KEITH FOSTER
    12473.68%
    CHRISTIN MILLOY
    6912.04%
    MASOOD KHAN
    4001.18%
    WALTER WIDLA
    2160.64%
    2007 Result:
    AMRIT MANGAT
    19,73853.78%
    RAVI SINGH
    9,33325.43%
    PAUL SIMAS
    3,84610.48%
    KARAN PANDHER
    3,78510.31%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1707149.43%
    1347239.01%
    254007.35%


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    14 06 02 A.S.
    99.233.52.111
    If Hazel's endorsement signifies Liberal autopilot in Mississauga once again, this stays with the flow (then again, federally, Navdeep Bains once looked unsinkable). And while there is a hint of potential Jagmeet-Singh-mania wavery in the Brampton South part, given the candidacies the likelier tableau is for the NDP to be a token dumpster for 'white votes' (hey, it's happened before; like, in Mississauga-Streetsville federally in '06)
    14 05 18 LB
    174.138.198.64
    The PCs are targeting this riding hard. Based on its history and McCallion's endorsement, I would put it in the liberal column although a strong performance by Hudak in the debates combined with a strong ground game could deliver this one to him. Those are both big IFs. Lean liberal.
    14 05 16 Art
    174.95.58.142
    Peel is the swing zone. PC voters are revving up to vote and Liberal voters are more likely to not vote. Once the debates pound home the billions of dollars in scandals and wastes, expect the PC revving to get much louder out here. Besides if you can't stomach PC, Gore Malton swung NDP in disgust. (Surprise!) Who needs the Liberals; NDP are the news Liberals.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    As of the one of the safest Liberal ridings in the 905, it should stay Liberal unless they fall below 30% province wide in which case I will move it to too close to call.
    13 04 10 seasaw
    99.225.1.213
    The way things look right now, the PC's don't have a big enough lead in 905 to take this, so call it Liberal hold.
    13 04 10
    70.30.132.201
    The incumbent won convincingly a year and a half ago, and is now facing the same Conservative opponent. Province-wide polls haven't moved drastically enough to suggest a change. Unless Mississauga catches Hudak-mania - which is, so far, yet to catch on anywhere outside of Hudak's house - this will be an easy Liberal hold.



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