Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Leeds-Grenville


Prediction Changed
2013-03-07 22:41:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Bowering, Stephen

Clark, Steve

Gabriel, Harold

Lundy, David

Milks, Christine

Incumbent:
Steve Clark

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Leeds-Grenville)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * STEVE CLARK
    2431463.6%
    RAY HEFFERNAN
    666317.43%
    DAVID LUNDY
    582215.23%
    CHARLIE TAYLOR
    13193.45%
    LANCE FULSOM
    1110.29%
    2007 Result:
    * BOB RUNCIMAN
    22,75556.24%
    LORI BRYDEN
    11,60228.67%
    JEANIE WARNOCK
    2,9077.18%
    PAULINE KUHLMANN
    2,8216.97%
    MIKE DWYER
    3770.93%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1623940.42%
    1916647.71%
    228105.67%


  •  


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    14 05 18 LB
    174.138.198.64
    Only a fool would predict something other than PC. No contest.
    14 05 16 Trinity-Spadina Progressive
    70.49.168.176
    Leeds-Grenville is a Eastern Ontario riding that is ridiculously safe for the Tories. The Conservative vote in Ontario tends to be less efficient than the Liberal vote because they pile up massive majorities in ridings like this.
    14 05 11 adma@rogers.com
    99.233.52.111
    If the Hudak PCs are Kim Campbelled, Steve Clark would be one of the survivors. And keep in mind that I wouldn't have said that about Bob Runciman.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    This one stayed PC even during the Larry Grossman disaster so if the PCs were reduced to only 5 seats in Ontario, this would be one of them. So easy PC win, the danger is the big margins in ridings like these could result in them winning the popular vote, but losing seat wise as even in the GTA, the Liberals are unlikely to rack up similar margins anywhere.
    13 03 06 seasaw
    99.225.1.213
    How long has this been a PC seat ? Probably as long as it's been a seat. What was the margin of victory the last time, about 46 percent, right ? What if the Liberals do really well and make up let's say 30 points ? Still a 16 point PC win. Well, you get the message.
    13 03 03 LFC Ottawa
    65.92.114.223
    Steve Clark has one of the safest seats in the province with no serious opposition.



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