Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington


Prediction Changed
2013-03-07 22:40:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Hillier, Randy

MacDonald, Bill

Mather, Cam

Parkhill, David

Incumbent:
Randy Hillier

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * RANDY HILLIER
    2245750.12%
    BILL MACDONALD
    1249027.88%
    DAVE PARKHILL
    810418.09%
    NANCY MATTE
    17543.91%
    2007 Result:
    RANDY HILLIER
    18,21340.58%
    IAN WILSON
    17,39338.76%
    ROSS SUTHERLAND
    5,62312.53%
    ROLLY MONTPELLIER
    3,1867.10%
    STELLA POSTMA
    4621.03%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1901944.57%
    1701539.88%
    379508.89%


  •  


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    14 05 28 A.S.
    99.233.52.111
    Hillier will always be controversial on a province-wide scale; but on a local-incumbent-candidate scale, nothing any longer to be controversial about (though the Lanark-vs-Loyalist schism remains electorally evident--indeed, the Amherstview zone was practically a 3-way race). Oh, sure, maybe someday enough expatriate Torontonians will leapfrog Prince Edward and start moderating Balderson Cheese country a little...hasn't happened yet...
    14 05 18 LB
    174.138.198.64
    The PCs will hold this one judging by history alone. The only question is: will it be with over 50% of the vote?
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    Randy Hillier may drive many urban latte sipping types nuts, but even if people here aren't quite as redneck as him, many share the frustration that the government only cares about the large urban areas and not small town Ontario and he taps into this anger quite well. As such, he will win not only win again, but will be back with over 50%. That being said if Hudak loses, the party would be wise not to choose him as he is the type he would ensure the PCs don't make the gains they need in the 905 belt. While if Hudak wins, keep him in the backbench or give him a junior portfolio as his outburst won't help the party amongst the key swing voters.
    13 03 03 LFC Ottawa
    65.92.114.223
    Hillier is well known as an MPP, and a libertarian activist for rural Ontario. He will win re-election



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