Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Chatham-Kent-Essex


Prediction Changed
2013-03-07 22:40:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Bell, Ken

Gelinas, Dan

Johnson, Terry

McLarty, Douglas

Nicholls, Rick

Incumbent:
Rick Nicholls

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Chatham-Kent-Essex)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    RICK NICHOLLS
    1512141.78%
    PAUL WATSON
    1163132.14%
    ALEKSANDRA NAVARRO
    841523.25%
    HOLLY SULLIVAN
    10272.84%
    2007 Result:
    * PAT HOY
    18,78251.98%
    DOUG JACKSON
    10,36728.69%
    MURRAY GAUDREAU
    4,60112.73%
    KEN BELL
    2,0545.69%
    MARK MORIN
    3260.90%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    2000158.91%
    994429.29%
    261107.69%


  •  


    Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

    14 06 11 jeff316
    75.119.246.180
    Why does the NDP tour keep stopping in Chatham? Is it to get Chatham press that extends in the rural communities in the neighbouring Essex riding? Is it a 'well, we're here we might as well' stop en route between the party's seats in the southwest? Is Chatham just a really great place to stop for snacks?
    14 06 10 A.S.
    99.231.139.81
    Pat Hoy bridged Ontario's 'agrarian-Liberal' tradition into the c21; but once he retired, CKE slid into the Tory camp, and with enough of a margin that it would *appear* safe enough. But, by being just recessionary-manufacturing-economy enough, it's yet another of those potential Andrea-belt pickups--it just depends on which polls you trust: those that show a late NDP surge, or those that don't...
    14 05 12 Dr Bear
    69.172.81.45
    Liberal support seems to be collapsing in SW Ontario and it'll be interesting to see where it will crystallize. I'm thinking that there will be a fairly even distribution amongst both other parties creating a PC/NDP race. Nevertheless, the PC were quite ahead last time and will like stay that way with the NDP coming in second.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    Opposition to the wind farms like much of Southwestern Ontario has been a big issue so absolutely no chance it will return to the Liberals. The NDP have pockets of support, but not enough to actually take the riding.
    13 03 02 seasaw
    99.225.1.213
    Last election, the Tories won this quite convincingly and that was when they ran one of their worst campaigns. Regardless of the kind of campaign they run, they should keep this one.



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