Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2011

Markham-Unionville


Prediction Changed
2011-10-06 22:31:15
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Chan, Michael

Choo, P. C.

O'Brien, Myles

Small, Allen

Thayaparan, Shan

Incumbent:
Hon Michael Chan

Reference:

  • Federal Riding Prediction
  • Previous Prediction - 2007 Provincial Election


    2007 Result:


    * MICHAEL CHAN
    21,14959.47%
    KI KIT LI
    9,57426.92%
    ANDY ARIFIN
    2,5977.30%
    BERNADETTE MANNING
    1,9105.37%
    LEON WILLIAMS
    3350.94%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    2033754.38%
    1408137.65%
    180704.83%


  •  


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    11 10 04 A.S.
    99.233.218.204
    The federal Grits' survival absolutely ensures the provincial Grits' survival. Indeed, if there's enough fallout from the Hudakville foreign-worker-bashing etc, and Layton-friendly trends along Steeles spill over provincially, we might well see a London North Centre-ish circumstance of the NDP winning more poll divisions than the PCs on fewer votes...
    11 09 19 AD
    24.246.31.39
    Should be an easy Liberal hold. They are up in recent polls and doing surprisingly well in 905 at around 40% (in Angus Reid's latest poll as of this comment). Liberals also have the incumbant as an advantage.
    11 09 18 Stevo
    99.232.142.184
    No contest here. Markham seems perfectly comfortable with the status quo voting in Liberal candidates for the foreseeable future. It was the only seat in the 905 belt to remain Liberal in the May federal election. Though let's not forget that neighbouring Vaughan used to deliver some of the highest federal Liberal vote percentages in the country, but it finally did succumb to the anti-Liberal wave. Perhaps if David Tsubouchi could be convinced to come back from retirement...
    11 09 07 johnspink@sympatico.ca
    66.207.195.190
    11 03 28 Nick J ‘Teddy’ Boragina
    198.96.35.248
    If the PC Party knows what they are doing, they could make this riding an interesting battle. Markham does have some old PC base from back in the day.
    11 03 24 binriso
    142.167.166.13
    This is easily one of the safest Liberal ridings provincially and federally. I wouldnt expect much difference this time around.
    11 03 20 WAC
    99.230.244.3
    This riding has a long Tory history, but there seems to have been a recent shift and Markham has return Federal and Provincial Liberals by wide margins in the last decade. Even if the Liberals do poorly, they'll like hold on to a riding like Markham - 11,500 votes is probably a little too much to make up.



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