Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Swansea East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Christian Holliday
British National Party
Clive Bennett
UK Independence Party
David Rogers
Plaid Cymru
Dic Jones
Liberal Democrats
Robert Speht
Labour Party
Sian James
Green Party
Tony Young

Incumbent:
Mrs Siân C. James
Swansea East (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
57226
2005
58813

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17458
3103
6208
2128
Other
1938

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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