Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Vale of Clwyd


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 20:26:26
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Plaid Cymru
Caryl Wyn Jones
Labour Party
Chris Ruane
British National Party
Ian Si`Ree
Conservative Party
Matt Wright
Alliance For Green Socialism
Mike Butler
Liberal Democrats
Paul Penlington
UK Independence Party
Tom Turner

Incumbent:
Chris Ruane
Vale of Clwyd (100 %)
Mr David Jones
Clwyd West (1 %)

Electorate:
Current
49637
2005
52518

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
14963
10375
3825
2366
Other
1124

 


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09 05 12 Harry Hayfield
86.162.248.51
Vale of Clwyd is the 143rd Conservative target according to the calculations created by Thrasher and Rallings for the Press Association, BBC News, ITN and Sky News and would be a Con GAIN on a swing of 7.09%. The local elections in 2008 were confused slightly due to the large number of Independent who stand in elections therefore the best evidence to use is the Assembly Elections of 2007 and although Labour held the Assembly just, the Conservatives won the regional vote in the seat.



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