Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Copeland


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Christopher Whiteside
British National Party
Clive Jefferson
Liberal Democrats
Frank Hollowell
Labour Party
Jamie Reed
Green Party
Jill Perry
UK Independence Party
Ted Caley-Knowles

Incumbent:
Mr Jamie Reed
Copeland (100 %)
Tony Cunningham
Workington (12.7 %)

Electorate:
Current
62517
2005
62032

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17513
13705
5322
Other
2278

 


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10 04 09 EP
204.9.162.70
Copeland experienced a small swing from Conservative to Labour in ’05, but has since gained three solidly conservative wards in the Keswick area, which may make this seat a little bit more competitive (though labour and LD did not contest those wards). It was a very marginal Labour seat in the 1980s and had only a small swing to Labour in 1992.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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