Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Weaver Vale


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
Colin Marsh
Conservative Party
Graham Evans
Green Party
Howard Thorp
Labour Party
John Stockton
Independent
Mike Cooksley
UK Independence Party
Paul Remfry
Liberal Democrats
Peter Hampson
Independent
Tom Reynolds
Independent
Will Charlton

Incumbent:
Mr Mike Hall
Weaver Vale (92.6 %)
Mr Stephen O'Brien
Eddisbury (5.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
64216
2005
67649

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17550
12500
7865
Other
921

 


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10 04 25 Adrian Bailey
82.36.129.101
Straightforward gain for the Conservatives
10 04 22 Predictor
99.211.152.63
The boundary changes benefited the Tories as it removed part of Runcorn and adding on a little bit more Tory rural terrain. Northwich overall is open to a swing towards the Tories, as it did in the recent elections for the new West Cheshire unitary. They would have this in the bag if their numbers are in majority territory, but they are not, so this is too tight to call for now.



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