Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Leeds West


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green Party
David Blackburn
UK Independence Party
Jeff Miles
British National Party
Joanna Beverley
Conservative Party
Joe Marjoram
Labour Party
Rachel Reeves
Liberal Democrats
Ruth Coleman

Incumbent:
Rt Hon John Battle
Leeds West (97.8 %)
Rt Hon Hilary Benn
Leeds Central (3.4 %)
Greg Mulholland
Leeds North West (2.1 %)
Mr Paul Truswell
Pudsey (1.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
67629
2005
66068

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19857
5011
6056
Other
4603

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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