Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Barnsley Central


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:02
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Christopher Wiggin
UK Independence Party
David Silver
Independent
Donald Wood
Labour Party
Eric Illsley
British National Party
Ian Sutton
Conservative Party
Piers Tempest
Socialist Labour Party
Terry Robinson
Independent
Tony Devoy

Incumbent:
Mr Eric Illsley
Barnsley Central (72.8 %)
Mr Michael Clapham
Barnsley West & Penistone (3.7 %)

Electorate:
Current
64117
2005
64698

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18996
5206
6159
Other
1797

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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