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Profil de circonscription
candidats:
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Dufour, Yves | |
Fuoco, Jason | |
Gaudet, Roger | |
Girard, Marianne | |
Perreault, Manon |
Député: |
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Roger Gaudet |
prévision historiques
2008 prévision
2006 prévision
2004 prévision
2000 prévision
Référence:
Pundits’ Guide
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Nous n'aimons pas des films publicitaires non plus, mais quelqu'un doivent payer le loyer.
Remplacez-l'avec votre annonce de campagne ! Voir les détails de patronage.
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| 11 05 01 |
expat 209.105.131.192 |
This may have been one of the Bloc's strongest ridings in 2008, but I think they're going to narrowly lose it to the NDP this year. The NDP is running a bona fide real candidate here - a former local mayor and city councillor, with significant community involvement in local non-profit groups (disability advocacy). The Bloc's 55% is likely to fall into the high 30s, just below 40%. With a strong local candidate, the NDP will manage to take enough votes from all parties to translate their 2008 tie for 2nd place 14% performance into a narrow victory. Sometimes waves make things happen that seem impossible before they start -- this is going to be one of the places that happens. |
| 11 05 01 |
Stéphane Gaudet 66.130.172.171 |
Comté mi-rural mi-banlieue, difficile à dire. Le NPD a fini troisième ici en 2008, devant les conservateurs, et part d'un respectable 14%. Mais Roger Gaudet a eu 56% du vote et 25 000 voix de majorité ! Est-ce que 12 600 votes pourraient passer du Bloc au NPD ? Avec un tsunami orange, c'est très possible. Reste à voir si ce sera un tsunami comme les sondages le prétendent et les médias s'en délectent. Ou une vague. Ou une vaguelette. |
| 11 03 28 |
M.Lunn 174.116.190.108 |
Along with Repentigny, these have been the Bloc's two best showings in Quebec so unless one thinks they will win fewer than 2 seats, they are going to win this. |
| 09 09 11 |
A.S. 99.232.162.133 |
Kind of like a children's-toy version of Gatineau, less than 300 votes and half a share separated Gaudet's three nearest opponents--all beneath 14%! That's but a quarter of Gaudet's vote, each. Let that speak for itself. |
| 09 08 27 |
JF Breton 207.134.225.57 |
Bastion bloquiste avec 25000 voix de majorité aux dernières élections. |
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