Prediction Changed
8:20 PM 06/05/2007

Election Prediction Project
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Whitby—Oshawa
Ontario Provincial Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green
ANDERSON, DOUG
Family Coalition
CHILVERS, DALE
Progressive Conservative
ELLIOTT, CHRISTINE
Freedom
FRAMPTON, BILL
Libertarian
GOBIN, MARTY
Liberal
HAMMER, LAURA
New Democratic
MOSES, NIGEL

Incumbent:
Whitby-Ajax (76.3%)
Christine Elliott
Oshawa (19.6%)
Jerry J. Ouellette
Durham (4.1%)
John O'Toole

2003 Result (redistributed):
17485
36.98%
22278
47.12%
5999
12.69%




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07 10 03 Nick J Boragina
74.14.23.192
Whitby is the capital of the Durham Region, which has some of the highest property taxes in the GTA. That might make someone think that ridings like this will therefore go for a tax-and-spend party. The reality, however, is that Durham is also a very right-wing place. Many of the new comers are upper middle class people who wanted to not only move to a suburb, but a burb that is far away from the lower middle class people who move to the burbs. This riding in particular has seen quite a bit of growth, it’s a PC lock.
07 09 18 A.S.
74.99.222.209
The seat loses Ajax and gains part of Oshawa--and bam! the one-time forest of NDP signs in that part of Oshawa dwindle to a trickle. Interesting thing about Flaherty/Elliott is how symbiotic they are; just because Elliott is female, provincial, non-governing, not a bigshot finance minister, and with less parliamentary experience doesn't make her 'lesser', or a carpetbagger by any means. Who knows; *she* just might wind up being John Tory's replacement as party leader. As for the Grits, memo to Ms. Hammer: you can't touch this...
07 09 14 RogueTory
67.69.131.162
Oh what a boring campaign this is shaping up to be. All you see is Christine Elliott signs everywhere. But the Tories should not be complacent, as much as they my have a lock on the Flaherty Fifedom, the full-funding issue might just come back to haunt them. Now wouldn't that be exciting - a horse race.
07 09 09 RyanOntario
209.91.149.117
local mpp christine elliott is clearly the favourite here, as she managed to beat former liberal mp Judi Longfield in a by-election back in 06.
this really showed she is a strong candidate and her recent experience as an mpp will help her this campaign.
07 05 05 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
It looks like the husband-wife team with Flaherty holding this federally and Elliot provincially will continue. Even though the Flaherty family may be hated elsehwere in Ontario, they seem to be well liked here, never mind Ajax was removed and Oshawa added so this riding is even more favourable to the Conservatives.
07 05 02 Angry Ontarian
24.36.172.204
Like in 2003 and the 2006 by-election, Whitby-Oshawa will go Tory blue. MPP Christine Elliott has the election machinery of husband, MP, and federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty behind her. That's more than enough to ensure her re-election.



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