Prediction Changed
3:52 PM 07/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Cariboo-Prince George
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal
Adamick, Drew
New Democratic
Collins, Bev
Independent
Gook, Douglas
Conservative
Harris, Dick
Green
Van Drielen, Amber

Incumbent:
Dick Harris

2006 Result:
Dick Harris **
19624
Simon Yu
10509
Alfred Julian Trudeau
10129
Alex Bracewell
2416
Christopher S. M. Kempling
505
Bev Collins
279
Carol Lee Chapman
109
Don Roberts
95

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 03 03 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Dumbledore Dick's been going strong ever since the sweet green Reform icing came flowing down on his behalf in 1993--maybe if Prince George constituted a seat in itself, it'd be threatened; but split in two, it means two safe CPCers. Though the ascent of Jack Layton led to a strong-enough second-place NDP in '04, and then the provincial Dippers scored some unforeseen rural victories and near-victories hereabouts, which led (together with good reviews of Nathan Cullen next door) to murmurs of upset potential--but then NDP blew it by falling back to third behind the Liberals in '06. Yup, Dick vs. D'oh. To be safe, I'm not giving this one to anything but CPC--for now, at least.
07 11 06 tducey
24.138.130.38
Dick Harris should hold this seat, I don't even think any of the other parties have nominated candidates here yet.
07 04 02 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Dick Harris is not exactly the strongest MP, but the Conservatives have a good solid base of over 40% and the remaining 50-60% is split between the NDP and Liberals with neither party having enough strength to take the riding. In addition running a single centre-left candidate wouldn't necessarily work here as many Liberals and NDP have the Conservatives as their second choice as opposed to the other, so otherwise Dick Harris wins no matter what, even if he isn't that popular.



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