Update:
1:35 AM 20/05/2005

Prediction Changed
1:03 AM 04/05/2005
Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Okanagan-Shuswap
Federal Election - 2006



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
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NDP/NPD
Alice Brown
Independent/Indépendant
Gordon Campbell
Liberal/libéral
Will Hansma
Conservatives/Conservateurs
Colin Mayes
Green Party/Parti Vert
Harry Naegel
Canadian Action
Neville O'Grady
Independent/Indépendant
Darren Seymour

Incumbent:
Darrel Stinson

2004 Result:
Darrel Stinson
24014
Alice Brown
12528
Will Hansma
11636
Erin Nelson
2333
Blair T. Longley
492
IND
Gordon Campbell
401
Claire A. Foss
257
IND
K. No. Daniels
104

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page




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17 05 05 hatman
This riding is mostly Conservative, with only pockets of NDP strength here and there. The Conservatives won by nearly 12,000 votes here in 2004, and should repeat similar numbers. The NDP did win this riding in 1988 by 3,000 votes but that was 1988, and people feel their protest vote, which there are a lot of in regions like this will go best to the Conservatives rather than the NDP.
02 05 05 Miles Lunn
Thankfully redneck Darrel Stinson is gone. This riding generally goes Conservative except for the 1988 election, so whoever is the next Conservative candidate will likely win this one. The Provincial liberals will certainly win Okanagan-Vernon and likely win Shuswap so this is right leaning riding that goes for the most right wing party on the ballot. In fact the two provincial ridings within this riding is where the Unity Party (the most right wing provincial party in 2001) had their best showing in 2001 and the BC Reform Party got around 25% in the 1996 election so this is conservative territory.



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