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Prince George-Peace River
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
10:41 AM 5/31/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
9:27 AM 17/03/2004



Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

Candidates/candidats:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
(Liens? Voir les détails de patronage.)
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Hilary Crowley
Canadian Action canadienne:
Harley Harasym
Conservatives/Conservateurs:
Jay Hill
N.D.P./N.P.D.:
Michael Hunter
Marxist-Leninist:
Tara Rimstad
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Arleene Thorpe

Population 2001
populations
104,257
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs
66691

Incumbents/Les députés:
Prince George-Bulkley Valley (9.2%)
Richard Harris
Prince George-Peace River (90.8%)
Jay Hill

2000 Result/Résultats:
Redistributed
26,085 69.04%
5,962 15.78%
2,339 6.19%
1,768 4.68%
OTHERS
1,627 4.31%

Prince George-Bulkley Valley
(36/206 polls, 6168/59156 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
716
2558
192
255
OTHER
253

Prince George-Peace River
(188/188 polls, 60523/60523 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
5246
23527
1576
2084
OTHER
1374



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28/05/04 Bernard
Email: [hidden]
I think the previous poster has mistaken this riding for somewhere in the Kootanies.
This is by far the weakest area for Greens in BC. The Greens are going to poll 1-2% in this riding.
13/05/04 Initial
Email: [hidden]
In a riding where oil & gas, mining, and forestry are king and blue-collar is the norm, and many go across the border to Grande Prairie for major shopping trips, Jay Hill's got a safe seat. The only real question, in my mind, is if the traditionally strong Green support in this area will make it's presence felt, and finish somewhere other than a fourth place finish. Third is certainly a possibility, and I'm sure Hilary Crowley has dreams of second place ahead of the Liberals, even if it's not that likely.
30/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
Last election's huge win is only a small part of why this region will go Conservative. This mini-alberta area of BC is situated in an area of BC which almost always votes small c conservative. It would take quite a swing of votes for anyone else to win. It's just not going to happen.
20/03/04 Bear and Ape
Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com
We once saw a news story on this part of BC and how it's more like Alberta than the rest of BC. There were many similarities such as geography, economic activity, being in the same time zone, etc. What they could also add is that they vote similarly. Meaning: Conservative keep by a strong margin.
20/03/04 Ian King
Email: vancouverscrum@myrealbox.com
The Peace River country looks a lot like like Alberta, has an economy and culture akin to Alberta's, and has the voting patterns to match. Rightwing politics dominate to the exclusion of all others; even if another party dominated in Prince Gerge and Mackenzie (which is highly unlikely in any case), it wouldn't be enough to knock off the dominant conservative party du jour.
16/03/04 Objective Observer
Email: objectiveobserver2004@yahoo.ca
The Peace River District is one of the more entrepreneurial areas in B.C. and has a solid background in voting for conservative candidates, both provincially and federally. Margins of victory for the Reform/CA candidate were 10,500 and 12,000 respectively in the 1997 and 2000 elections. Neither the Liberals nor the NDP are a threat in this riding.


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