Election Prediction Project
Projet D'Élection Prévision

www.electionprediction.com

Delta-Richmond East
Delta-Richmond-Est

Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
3:27 PM 28/04/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
8:53 AM 19/03/2004



Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

Candidates/candidats:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
(Liens? Voir les détails de patronage.)
Conservatives/Conservateurs:
John Cummins
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Shelley Leonhardt
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Dana Miller
N.D.P./N.P.D.:
Itrath Syed

Population 2001
populations
103,045
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs
66898

Incumbents/Les députés:
Delta-South Richmond (62.9%)
John Cummins
Richmond (37.1%)
Joe Peschisolido

2000 Result/Résultats:
Redistributed
23,604 54.32%
13,899 31.98%
2,862 6.59%
2,334 5.37%
OTHERS
756 1.74%

Delta-South Richmond
(115/235 polls, 42094/82670 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
7618
16850
1466
2136
OTHER
388

Richmond
(66/206 polls, 24804/77097 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
6281
6754
868
726
OTHER
368



Sponsoring this space? See sponsorship details
26/04/04 A.S.
Email: adma@interlog.com
Cummins has a bit of a maverick streak; f'rinstance, he's the rare BC ReformAllianceConservative to have cast his lot w/Belinda Stronach in the CPC leadership race. Nevertheless, he's earned his stripes over a decade+ representing the Delta; and besides, this is classic 1991-style BC Liberal country. (Which means, the *federal* Liberals have a reasonable chance here if their usual favourable between-election polls in BC ever, for any reason, followed through on polling day. Didn't happen in '93, '97, '00, why should it happen now...)
01/04/04 Phill St Louis
Email: phill@hivnet.ubc.ca
I think the Conservatives will take this seat again.
Cummins is too popular a candidate to lose. His fisheries stand is not popular with the Natives, but this has never hurt him. Stephen Harper demoted him from the shadow cabinet and was not pleased by his position on the aquaculture fishery.
18/03/04 Objective Observer
Email: objectiveobserver2004@yahoo.ca
The municipality of Delta proper has historically voted for the conservative candidate, irrespective of various redistributions. In this redistribution, Delta North, a somewhat less conservative area, is now part of another riding. The Richmond East portion of the new riding may have a stronger Liberal vote, but the relatively affluent area of Tsawwassen and middle-class Ladner in Delta South should provide enough of a majority to return John Cummins as a CPC member.


Submit Information here - Soumettez l'information ici
Return to/retournez à - Provincial Index/Actualité provinciale
Return to/retournez à - 2004 Federal Election Prediction/Prévision de élection générale 2004

© 1999-2004 Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com - Email Webmaster