Election Prediction Project
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Vegreville-Wainwright
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
1:05 AM 5/25/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
2:42 AM 17/03/2004



Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

Candidates/candidats:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
(Liens? Voir les détails de patronage.)
Conservatives/Conservateurs:
Leon Benoit
Green Party/Parti Vert:
James Kenney
N.D.P./N.P.D.:
Len Legault
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Duff Stewart

Population 2001
populations
107,771
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs
75159

Incumbents/Les députés:
Crowfoot (23.8%)
Kevin Sorenson
Elk Island (25.5%)
Ken Epp
Lakeland (47.5%)
Leon Benoit
Wetaskiwin (3.2%)
Dale Johnston

2000 Result/Résultats:
Redistributed
34,470 70.91%
5,715 11.76%
5,288 10.88%
2,560 5.27%
OTHERS
580 1.19%

Crowfoot
(56/230 polls, 17859/72325 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
719
8614
339
1342
OTHER
580

Elk Island
(55/222 polls, 19148/78682 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
1821
8793
840
1447
OTHER
0

Lakeland
(119/244 polls, 35710/70041 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
2950
15902
1294
2353
OTHER
0

Wetaskiwin
(8/237 polls, 2442/75763 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results
225
1161
87
146
OTHER
0



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24/05/04 Chris Young
Email: cyoung@ualberta.ca
This will be a pure blowout. Doing work in this riding during the Conservative leadership race elightened me to just how solid the support for the CPC is.
02/04/04 Bear and Ape
Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com
A new riding made up of bits and bobbs from four ridings that all had strong Alliance wins last time. It doesn't take a psychic to figure out that this will likely be a Conservative keep.
17/03/04 RWA
Email: radams2@uwo.ca
The Liberals are about as alive in these rural Alberta ridings as the Tories are in Montreal.
17/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
Parts of 4 Conservative MP's ridings are in this new riding. The combined CA-PC vote was north of 80%. The Conservatives could run Bin Laden wrapped in Blue, and he'd get elected here. Regardless of who runs, this will be a party vote, and the party they will vote for is the Conservatives.
16/03/04 RWA
Email:
The Conservatives have a 70% margin of error. I think they'll hold this one.


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