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Constituency Profile Profil de circonscription
Candidates/candidats:
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(Liens? Voir les détails de patronage.)
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Conservatives/Conservateurs: Tony Backhurst |
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Independent: Raymond Cho |
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Green Party/Parti Vert: Kathryn Holloway |
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N.D.P./N.P.D.: Fauzia Khan |
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Liberal Party/Parti libéral: Derek Lee |
Population 2001 populations | | 115,437 |
Number of electors 2000 Nombre d'électeurs | | 64864 |
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Incumbents/Les députés: |
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Scarborough-Rouge River (100.0%) Derek Lee |
2000 Result/Résultats:
Redistributed |
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25,675 |
80.17% |
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2,727 |
8.52% |
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2,053 |
6.41% |
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1,569 |
4.90% |
OTHERS |
0 |
0.00% |
Scarborough-Rouge River
(150/174 polls, 64864/72054 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results |
| 25675 | |
| 2727 | |
| 1569 | |
| 2053 | |
OTHER | 0 | |
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09/06/04 |
Graydon Email: [hidden] |
Reymond Cho has about as much of a chance at winning as a liberal in Calgary. Raymond could have had a solid shot at taking the riding provincially as a Liberal after Curling retires and instead alienated every Liberal frieind he has to take a stab at Derek Lee. This riding votes Liberal overwhelmingly. Derek Lee doesn't even need to track his vote for e-day since almost 80% of the riding votes Liberal. Scarbourough Rouge-River has the highest proportion of immigrants in the GTA and Cho does not have the individual name recognition ouside of Malvern or even a party brand to help him win. The only way Cho could conceivably make a run would be with the endorsement of City Councillor Bas Balkision, and I'm pretty sure they don't like each other. Cho has ruined any shot, and he had a good one, of ever making it in provincial or federal politics. Derek Lee in another walk. |
IND |
07/06/04 |
W. Lambert Email: wlambert@sympatico.ca |
This may be the biggest vote shift in Toronto. Derek Lee won this riding in a walk last time with a very large margin of victory, but independant candidate Raymond Cho was not in the race. Cho is hugely popular in the riding. Even though he got a bit of a late start in this campaign he will win it with tons of grass roots support from all of his friends. This is a very safe place for disaffected Liberals to park thier votes. With the parties fortunes freefalling Raymonds timing is impeccable. Cho is a small "l" liberal anyway who may be persuaded to join the Libs. after he wins this one. A very interesting race to watch. |
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06/06/04 |
MSH Email: [hidden] |
Since this riding came into existence, after the 1984 general election, it has always returned a Liberal. Among the Toronto-area ridings, this one is about as close to a Liberal slam dunk as it gets. Neither the Tories nor the NDP seem likely to interfere. |
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12/05/04 |
A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com |
Though it may be more Galganov than Nunziata, there *is* a situation of sorts happening here: the rumour that councillor Raymond Cho (who ran for the NDP against Lee in '88, but has since shifted t/w the centre) might run as an independent. Another symbolically important point: Cho represents the troubled Malvern neighbourhood, which went for Miller for mayor in '03--if he wanted to rejoin forces with the NDP *under Jack Layton*, there's some outside-outside opportunity here, *possibly*. But not terribly likely, as it stands right now. |
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17/03/04 |
Nick Boragina Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com |
Second only to Mount Royal Quebec, this riding votes Liberal in massive numbers. I cant see any situation that would cause the Liberals to lose here |
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