Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Wrekin, The

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Peter C.S. Bradley
Conservative Party:
Hon. Jacob W. Rees-Mogg
Liberal Democratic Party:
Ian C. Jenkins
UK Independence Party:
Carr

Incumbent:
Peter Bradley

97 Result:
Peter Bradley
21,24346.9%
Peter Bruinvels
18,21840.2%
Ian Jenkins
5,80712.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,26876.56%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
15,53931.9%
23,25947.8%
9,39119.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,67883.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.6%
16-2413.5%
25-3920.2%
40-6528.3%
65 <17.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.6%
Black0.7%
Indian/Pakistani2.0%
Other non-white0.7%

Employment:
Full Time66.1%
Part Time15.3%
Self Employed9.8%
Government Schemes1.4%
Unemployed7.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.0%
II - Managerial/Technical32.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.4%
IV - Partly Skilled15.4%
V - Unskilled5.3%

Misc:
Own Residence66.3%
Rent Residence29.7%
Own Car(s)74.1%
Submissions
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08/04/01 Max Moore Email:
Con will win seat by about 2000 votes. MP Peter Bradley has proved relatively popular but, following the 1995 boundary changes, this seat will be inclined to Tory candidate Jacob Rees-Mogg, in a normal electoral year. A swing of only 3and a half percent is required.
21/05/01 ib Email:
Given the poor showing of the Tory candidate and the discernment that the votes of this constituency showed by rejecting Peter Bruinvels last time, I suspect Peter Bradley will hang on. Now if the Tories found someone who wasn't a misfit...

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Last Updated 21 May 2001
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