Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Derby South

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. Margaret M. Beckett
 Conservative Party:
Simon Spencer
 Liberal Democratic Party:
Anders Hanson
 UK Independence Party:
Richard Fellowes

Incumbent:
 Rt Hon Margaret Beckett

97 Result:
 Margaret Beckett
29,15456.3%
 Javed Arain
13,04825.2%
 Jeremy Beckett
7,43814.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,81967.84%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
27,62748.3%
23,40040.9%
6,19510.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,22275.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1623.0%
16-2414.1%
25-3922.0%
40-6523.6%
65 <17.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White82.0%
Black3.6%
Indian/Pakistani12.9%
Other non-white1.5%

Employment:
Full Time62.4%
Part Time15.8%
Self Employed7.7%
Government Schemes1.6%
Unemployed12.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.0%
II - Managerial/Technical25.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)27.1%
IV - Partly Skilled17.4%
V - Unskilled5.2%

Misc:
Own Residence66.5%
Rent Residence32.4%
Own Car(s)59.9%
Submissions
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24/05/01 LB Email:
Derby South is most unlikely to kick out Cabinet Minister Margaret Beckett; it stayed Labour in 1983 although only by 421 votes and it contains the more traditionally Labour areas of Derby.
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Last Updated 4 June 2001
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