Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Tottenham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David L. Lammy
Conservative Party:
Uma N. Fernandes
Liberal Democratic Party:
Meher Khan
Green Party:
Peter Budge

Incumbent:
David Lammy

97 Result:
Bernie Grant
26,12169.3%
Derek Laud
5,92115.7%
Neil Hughes
4,06410.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,70456.98%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,30956.5%
13,34129.8%
5,12011.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,82363.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.2%
16-2414.9%
25-3927.9%
40-6522.7%
65 <13.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White61.7%
Black24.8%
Indian/Pakistani6.8%
Other non-white6.8%

Employment:
Full Time58.6%
Part Time9.2%
Self Employed8.0%
Government Schemes2.2%
Unemployed22.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.6%
II - Managerial/Technical23.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.3%
IV - Partly Skilled16.8%
V - Unskilled6.4%

Misc:
Own Residence45.8%
Rent Residence53.1%
Own Car(s)43.4%
Submissions
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19/04/01 NG Email:
Tottenham should be a fairly safe Labour hold, despite the loss of Bernie Grant. Lammy will probably overcome the controversy over his selection and win comfortably. However, following the 2000 by-election in which the Lib Dems pushed the Tories into third place, the interesting question will be who will come second? The Lib Dems will be well-placed with an ethnic minority candidate and their strong showing in 2000 but then again by-elections and general elections do not necessarily always tally. We shall see

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Last Updated 19 April 2001
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