Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hornsey and Wood Green

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Barbara M. Roche
Conservative Party:
Jason M. Hollands
Liberal Democratic Party:
Lynne C. Featherstone LAM
Green Party:
Jayne E. Forbes

Incumbent:
Mrs Barbara Roche

97 Result:
Barbara Roche
31,79261.7%
Helena Hart
11,29321.9%
Lynne Featherston
5,79411.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,48769.08%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
27,02048.5%
21,84339.2%
5,54710.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,74775.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.0%
16-2413.8%
25-3929.9%
40-6524.0%
65 <14.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White80.0%
Black9.7%
Indian/Pakistani5.0%
Other non-white5.3%

Employment:
Full Time61.6%
Part Time9.1%
Self Employed13.6%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed14.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional12.1%
II - Managerial/Technical43.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)13.1%
IV - Partly Skilled8.7%
V - Unskilled2.6%

Misc:
Own Residence53.2%
Rent Residence45.3%
Own Car(s)56.0%
Submissions
Submit Information here

08/05/01 LB Email:
It is amazing that there was a Conservative MP here as recently as 1992; even the most optimistic Tory wouldn't think it would revert this time and probably never. Labour have led here in every mid-term test of opinion and the seat has a high concentration of ethnic minority voters. Although Barbara Roche's term as Home Office immigration minister hasn't won her universal respect or popularity, people aren't going to vote Tory against her. If the Socialist Alliance stand a candidate here they might well save their deposit and poll respectably but not come anywhere near dislodging Roche, or taking second place.

Submit Information here
Back to London Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 8 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster