Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Port Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
21 March 2001 - 31 March 2001
Port Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Home
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| Friendly Reminder for concerned citizens/desperate political operatives of Port Coquitlam-Burke Mountain: Postings with no name (annoymous) will be posted, postings with inconsistant fake names will not. | |||
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21/03/01 | Tom S | Email:tom_salter28@hotmail.com |
| It must be galling for steven to realize that not every riding will go liberal in the next election,Farnworth will win because of a number of factors,btw I vote Alliance federally. 1)this is historically an NDP riding provincially 2)the riding boundaries change very much to the NDP's benefit,over 40 polls that where overwhelmingly liberal have been taken out of the riding. 3)He is very well liked in the riding he grew up here,Manhas has no profile in this community,he is viewed by many as doing this for an ego trip. 4)Chris Delaney of the Unity Party will in all probability be in the leaders debate,this will raise his profile,it can't help but do that. | |||
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21/03/01 | Brittney Dodd | Email: |
| I still think this riding will go NDP, only because of Mike Farnworth, though. I did some random door knocking in my neighbourhood and these results were produced. I don't like NDP, but I'll vote for Mike: 6 Manhas:3 Undecided:1 You have to realize that because of riding distribution, the Liberal strong hold on Westwood Plateau is gone. I have gone to many community events and Manhas is no where to be seen. Mike Farnworth has continually been visible in this community. And I know through different sources that the extremely-popular Mayor of PoCo, Scott Young, is going to come out and publicly endorse Farnworth along with some other big names in the community. Don't count out Mike, not by a long shot. | |||
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21/03/01 | RDS | Email:rdcsmith@box.com |
| This is an interesting riding,you have a very popular local incumbent,in an unpopular government,and an unknown challenger with no profile in a popular party.Despite the fact that the government is going to change with a big liberal majority,I still think the ndp will win this seat and a number of others,and form an opposition of 12-15 seats. | |||
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21/03/01 | Joan | Email: |
| Karn who?,get real, this seat will be won by Mike Farnworth. | |||
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22/03/01 | MMCD | Email: |
| Although it will be a hard one I believe that Chris Delaney could pull an upset here,I read the article in the" Coquitlam Now "on him,and he comes across as a solid conservative.As someone who doesn't,like either the Liberals or the NDP,I hope that the unity/reform party can become the inheritors of the popularity of the Alliance Party.If Chris Delaney can get his message across in a leaders debate,perhaps we can se the birth of a real alternative for those of us who are not Liberals or NDP. | |||
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22/03/01 | Glen Mullock | Email: |
| This riding will be NDP, and I am not sure why it is projected as a toss up, the last count was 19 Mike, 14 Karn. Anyway, First of all Westwood Plateau is gone, and there goes the Liberal stronghold. Second, You have Karn, a no namer, running against well-known popular Mike Farnworth. You have people who voted CA crossing over and voting NDP. You have Chris Delaney, who like it or not, will get some votes, because his profile will be higher. You have some potential PDA votes coming to Mike and some to Karn, but the fact remains last time this riding was close, because the Lib. had a high-profile candidate and had westwood plateau. Both are now gone! Mike will be victorious | |||
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22/03/01 | kyle | Email:kyle_jordanis@hotmail.com |
| NDP should win this one,historically NDP,and redistribution costs the Liberals plenty here. | |||
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23/03/01 | Joe S. | Email: |
| I was somewhat undecided about whether to vote for Mike Farnworth or not. While I have not been completely pleased with the NDP, Mike has been a good local representative. However, when I heard about the appointment of Mr. Pratt, a well known NDP member and long time supporter, to a cushy government appointment and that Mr. Farnworth made the appointment has pushed me over the edge. I'm not sure if I'll vote Green or for someone else but if there are other NDP supporters like myself who are disgusted with this kind of last minute patronage appointments (and I believe there are) traditional NDP voters will either vote for someone else or stay home. As a result, the Liberal candidate should win. | |||
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23/03/01 | Email: | |
| I think that this is a "safe" seat for the NDP. Mike Farnsworth has been and continues to be a great MLA. All of his hard work in the riding will be recognised when he is re-elected. | |||
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24/03/01 | Brad | Email: |
| Just because the Federal vote was down, does not mean it will not be there for the NDP in PoCo, lots of cross over prov NDP/CA in this area it's still pretty blue collar, and with a VERY long history of backing the NDP look to it to stay that way on election night. | |||
| 24/03/01 | CU | Email: | |
| BCUP will probably be a factor here. Though like Reform BC in 96, just another spoiler that helps the NDP. The B-CUPs should realize that they are just not sunstantial enoungh for British Columbians. Chris Delaney should do the right thing and support anyone who will help rid BC once and for all of the NDP. | |||
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25/03/01 | gd | Email: |
| This riding is not the riding Mike Farnworth won in 1996. It's now younger with new voters who are totally fed up with the incompetent, arrogant, mismanaging Mike Farnworth and the NDP. Despite his former standing as a local person made good, this won't work this time. For Mike, he has had a very poor record as a cabinet minister and failed in every portfolio he has held. In Municipal Affairs where he started, total failure- leaky condos, offloading to municipalities. Employment and Investment- did he create more jobs and investment or did we simply fall further behind the rest of Canada in economic performance? In his stint in Health about the only thing we can say he did before he was demoted was put the final piece of the NDP health strategy in place and that was to have our patients follow our nurses and doctors to the United States. In his current role, the final straw will be his appointment of Russ Pratt, NDP insider, to as CEO of the Home Protection Branch. This ranks right up there with his approval of the casino licence where he took responsibility and Glen Clark took the criminal charges. It really is too bad that this former local guy makes good is such a major kingpin in a totally inept government with no mandate to operate. Let's get this election going!! | |||
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26/03/01 | HP | Email: |
| I have to disagree with the above comments, Mike Farnworth has been a very capable, and competent minister. When he was moved from health, the BC Medical Association, said he was the best Health Minister in ages. I would agree that this is not the same riding he ran in 5 years ago, it is a much better riding, now that the entire Westwood plateau, has been put in Christy Clarks riding. This was the area that the Liberals cleaned up in, last election. | |||
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26/03/01 | Bernard Schulmann | Email:bernard.schulmann@lillonet.org |
| This is a Liberal slam dunk. The 1996 result was moderately close. Mike Farnworht is not 2-3 times as popular has his party. The NDP did not manage have any impact here federally. Ipos Ried places the Liberals 40+ points ahead of NDP in the 'burbs. Frankly, I would bet good money on Mike Farnworth losing. Nice guys do finish last some times. Finally, if Mike Farnworth had had any interest in being a good MLA and doing the honourable thing, he would have left the NDP caucus to sit as an indepedent. | |||
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26/03/01 | steven | Email: |
| After having watched the current session for a little while, I came away so saddened by what this current government has done to our democratic process. Who do they think they are to run a lame duck session with no mandate, plan or common sense. The NDP Party has no money so they are campaigning on my, and your, dime. For this particular constituency it will not go NDP. Some in this province will, the NDP is an institutional party whose overseers in labour will not allow them to be wiped out. For PoCo-BM the question will be Farnworth's ability to distance himself from the most despised administration ever to hold office in BC. How have the demographics really changed here? Who is Kar Manhas? Who is John Galt? These questions will be answered when Mike, Ujjal, Corky, Sue, et al find the courage to partake in the greatest job evaluation we, as a democracy, put our politicians through...an election. | |||
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26/03/01 | Farnworth fan | Email: |
| Mike has worked hard and is a good MLA. He pays attention to his constituency. | |||
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26/03/01 | j hartwig | Email:hartwigjohn@hotmail.com |
| I think that Mike Farnworth will be re-elected,he is very popular in PoCo,he has accomplished a great deal for Port Coquitlam,and even though the NDP isn'tgoing to be the government Farnworth will get back in. | |||
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26/03/01 | Poll Junkie | Email: |
| Farnworth may be popular as an individual, but Marty is right: local candidates only make a difference when they are incredibly well-known. My rule of thumb is that unless the candidate has "one-name" notoriety like Moe, Charest, Elsie, Svend, they will not be able to withstand the general party voting trends in the riding. Another issue that will hurt Farnworth is transit. He is the minister responsible for transit and the provincial government recently refused to approve a $75 vehicle levy, which was popular initially, but now the local transit authority is cutting bus routes as a result and, more important, the promised Skytrain (elevated rapid transit) extension to Coquitlam will now be scrapped. This was a personal commitment by Farnworth and former Premier Clark, and the voters will not forget that. | |||
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27/03/01 | Tom s | Email:tom_salter28@hotmail.com |
| Poll junkie needs to get his facts straight,Skytrain to coquitlam has not been axed,in fact it is already in coquitlam,the lougheed mall part,and the coquitlam centre line has not been cancelled unless the Liberals are planning on doing that.In fact one of the reasons I will be voting for Farnworth is because of the transportation,and transit improvements he has brought to the area. Also just to remind you,this riding has changed dramatically under redistribution,to the benefit of Farnworth,and finally this Federal Alliance supporter(James Moore you are doing a great job),will not be voting Liberal provincially. | |||
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29/03/01 | Email: | |
| Mike will win on election night in PoCo, unfortunately that's all, the province will go Campbell, he is still very popular personally, and that will pull him through with little trouble in PoCo. | |||
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29/03/01 | Collin | Email: |
| I think Tom S. needs to look at the facts: 1. What transportation improvements have really been made to this area? It takes me longer to drive from Port Coquitlam to anywhere now than it did five years ago. 2. Skytrain should have come to Port Coquitlam long before the New Westminster to Lougheed Mall extension. Our transportation needs were sacrificied at the altar of NDP vote buying. 3. I know James Moore and he is behind Karn Manhas 100%. James knows that this province and this riding would be better served if the NDP were not around. Coupled with a cabinet minister who has bungled everything he has touched (leaky condos, Casinogate, Prince George doctor's dispute, the hiring of Russ Pratt) and it all adds up to another tick in the Liberal win column. | |||