Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
Project Introduction
The idea behind this project is to predict the result of an election constituency by constituency. However, prediction is not done by polling, but by collecting opinion/input from any individuals or quotes from media. The project team will evaluate all submission and determine which candidates will most likely win.
You can contribute by submitting your own opinion regard the riding (with reasons supporting your view) or submitting a quote from a newspaper. Please note that only constituency/area specific submission will be considered.
Evaluation Process
This process determines the prediction of each constituency at the end of each day. The project team will consider all the submissions (to date) and make a call for the constituency.
The following factors are take into consideration for each submission.
- Pure political "advertisment" are not posted.
- Submissions with no name, or clear identificataion generally weight less.
- The site owner keeps a record for each participant. Submissions from a particular participant who demonstrated consistant bias generally weight less. Submissions from individuals that demonstated clear political motive or bias are generally ignored.
- Misleading Submission will be accomplanied with correction and will not be considered.
- Submissions from political staff are treated as refereces.
- Submisisons with name and email address displayed generally weight more.
The following factors are also considered.
- Reginal news/trend.
- (During writ period) Polling result from major polling firms
Last Updated 27 May 2001
Election Prediction Project
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan
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