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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Simcoe-Grey


Prediction Changed
2022-03-09 09:10:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Crysler, Ted

Ghobrial, David

Gordon, Billy G

Kuhn, Allan

Nunn, Keith

Sacrey, Rodney

Saunderson, Brian


Incumbent:
Jim Wilson

Population (2016):

129944
Population (2011):116307


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

JIM WILSON *
34,09455.93%
DAVID MATTHEWS
13,44422.05%
DAN HAMBLY
8,78014.40%
JESSECA PERRY
4,1926.88%
JOHN WRIGHT
4530.74%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

14,296 30.40%
22,288 47.39%
6,739 14.33%
3,707 7.88%
OTHERS !Syntax Error, *%
Total Transposed 47,030
      Component Riding(s)

Simcoe-Grey
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Terry Dowdall
32,81243.50%
Lorne Kenney
23,92531.70%
Sherri Jackson
8,58911.40%
Ilona Matthews
8,46211.20%
Richard Sommer
1,4161.90%
Tony D'Angelo
3050.40%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Kellie Leitch **
30,61246.60%
Mike MacEachern
25,35238.60%
David Matthews
6,3329.60%
JoAnne Fleming
2,9234.40%
Len Noordegraaf
5280.80%


 

30/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
For the first time in 32 yrs. Jim Wilson will not be the PC candidate here on June 2. Won't matter, the PC's will hold on here.
28/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Collingwood Mayor Brian Saunderson, who was personally tapped by the Premier to run here, will hold this seat easily.
27/04/22 LTG
137.220.7.27
Not enough of a swing but it could be a very slim victory. Saunderson is not well liked as mayor and he is running a terrible campaign so far. Liberal candidate is the best candidate that they have had for years and is well know in Collingwood area. Demographics have changed significantly in the riding in the last few years. Long time Wilson supporters are upset with Ford because of how he has treated Wilson.
15/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
An inglorious end to Jim Wilson's political reign, but not to that of his party. The only "danger" would be if Jim Wilson ran as an independent--and it wouldn't necessarily even be on behalf of Lib/NDP/Green. But Wilson (unlike Helena Guergis federally) is sensible enough to spare constituents such a run, and constituents are sensible enough to stick to the tried and true and be forgiving of the previous office-holder's trespasses, and the Mayor of Collingwood's a sensible candidate choice--after all, Collingwood's traditionally among the weaker spots in the riding for the Tories, so nothing like a nice firm anchor there. (And it's too Central Ontario Heartland sensible for dissident-right forces to nab energy; PPC was single digit here in '21, not double digits like in the SW Ontario Bible Belt.)
10/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Jim Wilson held this riding for a long time when he was a pc mpp , been an independent for a while now and surprised he didn?€™t leave earlier and have a by election here to replace him. The new pc candidate is Brian Saunderson who is mayor of Collingwood . not sure if any of the other parties have candidates yet. A long time conservative riding federally and provincially so likely to stay pc.
07/03/22 Finn
72.138.106.30
Should go easily blue. It has been held by Jim Wilson for the last 32 years, and even though he is not seeking re election due to expulsion from the PC caucus, this will be one of the easiest wins the PCs will have on election night.



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