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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Scarborough North


Prediction Changed
2022-05-06 23:11:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Anandarajan, Anita

Bountrogiannis, James

Cho, Raymond

Dickson, Mark

Grusys, Pete

Kong, Justin

Mcmahon, Tara


Incumbent:
Raymond Cho

Population (2016):

98800
Population (2011):101080


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

RAYMOND CHO *
17,41351.05%
DWAYNE MORGAN
8,32024.39%
CHIN LEE
7,51922.04%
NICOLE PELTIER
5431.59%
SEAN MORGAN
3180.93%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

12,365 40.07%
9,623 31.18%
8,067 26.14%
494 1.60%
OTHERS 313 1.01%
Total Transposed 30,862
      Component Riding(s)

Scarborough-Rouge River
(92.53% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Scarborough-Agincourt
(7.47% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Shaun Chen **
20,91153.60%
David Kong
11,83830.30%
Yan Chen
5,03912.90%
Avery Velez
7962.00%
Jude Guerrier
3700.90%
Janet Robinson
830.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Shaun Chen
18,90448.20%
Ravinder Malhi
10,73727.40%
Rathika Sitsabaiesan **
8,64822.10%
Eleni MacDonald
5791.50%
Raphael Rosch
1640.40%
Aasia Khatoon
1560.40%


 

30/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
Given Cho is 86 this year I didn't think he would run again.Oh well more power to him. His age won't be a factor here, he'll win again.
28/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
By far the best shot the PCs have at holding a Scarborough seat, and probably their safest seat in Toronto after the Premier's. Seniors Minister Raymond Cho will likely be returned.
30/03/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Face it; Cho is *old*; and some might say "not all there" (even if imperfect English skews impressions). And his landslide showing last time owed something in part to post-byelection entropy--were it not for the Wynne implosion, he could have been a one-byelection wonder much like his former Toronto council colleague Doug Holyday--and Scarborough North's becoming, in '21, the best federal Lib riding in Ontario (and 2nd best in the country) has got to leave a mark. Of course, the federal Libs are in *waaaay* better shape than the provincial Libs; but, still.
14/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Raymond Cho first got elected here in a 2016 by election but had been a city councillor for years for this part of the city so well known. Its likely he?€™ll hold the seat but likely retire at some point as he?€™s been in politics for some time now.
02/03/22 KXS
72.137.76.35
Voters in this riding and other neighboring ridings are content with both Trudeau's Liberals and Ford's Tories. The PCs got over 50% of the vote last time around. The federal Liberals won this with 66% last September.
06/06/21 Jeremus von Stroheim
99.251.36.14
One of the two big Chinese ridings in Scarborough. Don't really see the conservatives losing this, given the margin won by last time, and how well Ford did in the mayoral race here.



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