Richmond Hill

	Bhushan, Raymond
	Biouckzadeh, Ramtin
	Farhadi, Roozbeh
	Hoffman, Les
	Nicanfar, Hasen
	Rykova, Olga
	Wai, Daisy

Incumbent:

		Daisy Wai
Population (2016):			110177
Population (2011):			108658
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
		DAISY WAI
		22,224	51.24%
		REZA MORIDI *
		12,108	27.92%
		MARCO COLETTA
		7,490	17.27%
		WALTER BAUER
		1,248	2.88%
		IGOR BILY
		301	0.69%
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
		17,305	48.16%
		12,842	35.74%
		4,055	11.28%
		1,166	3.25%
	OTHERS	567	1.58%
	Total Transposed		35,936
Component Riding(s)
	Richmond Hill (95.91% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
	Thornhill (4.09% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
2021 Federal Election Prediction
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Majid Jowhari **
		21,804	43.50%
		Costas Menegakis
		21,592	43.10%
		Adam DeVita
		4,425	8.80%
		Ichha Kohli
		1,695	3.40%
		Igor Tvorogov
		507	1.00%
		Otto Wevers
		126	0.30%
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Majid Jowhari
		23,032	46.90%
		Michael Parsa
		21,275	43.30%
		Adam DeVita
		3,950	8.00%
		Gwendolyn Veenema
		856	1.70%

	29/05/2022	Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105
I believe Ford was in this riding over the past few days so maybe a close race in the offing here. I have Wai holding on here but maybe a close race to watch on June 2.
	25/05/2022	KXS 72.137.76.35
Should be a PC lock with the way the polls are at the moment. If the Tories are losing seats in the 905, it will be in Mississauga, Brampton, Ajax or Milton - not here.
	29/04/2022	Bryan in Richmond Hill 72.141.205.243
It will be interesting to see if the recent EMZO to allow 67 highrise towers in the south end of the city (with no requirement for a proportion to be "affordable") will affect PC chances in Richmond Hill. The developers may be thrilled, but city council seems less than pleased and the suggestion of cronyism may not help the Tories here. The riding still appears to be leaning to Mr Ford's party, but the old cliche about campaigns holds truth.
	28/04/22	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
After del Duca's seat, this is one of the ones in York that I think is most likely to go Liberal, but right now I think the PCs should be able to hold on.
	23/04/22	AD 198.84.175.242
I definitely think this will be closer than last election but LPO has a big gap to fill and I do not believe they will have enough of an effect to change the outcome of this riding.
	05/04/22	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Keep in mind that Daisy Wai might have done even better in '18 were Reza Moridi not a relatively strong incumbent--but keep in mind, too, that this, maybe even more than King-Vaughan, was seen as the lowest-hanging Lib fruit in York Region for the federal Cons in '21, except that the Chinese electorate shifted Liberal when people weren't looking. A shift less likely provincially than federally (at least in a way that's meaningful--remember that the federal riding was *already* Liberal), though it's interesting that the Sino-Blue vs Iranian Red dynamic's repeating itself from '18.
	04/04/22	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Daisy Wai was first elected here in 2018 when she beat liberal mpp Riza Moridi who was fairly well known in the riding. New liberal candidate is Roozbeh Farhadi who is not high profile and unclear who the ndp will run here but never been an ndp riding. Been a riding where the cpc was doing well federally and have a strong base of support but only ever once managed to win it in 2011. The provincial pc’s seem to do better in the 905 than the federal party.
	30/03/22	seasaw 69.157.38.158
This is pretty much a bellwether 905 riding. The incumbent Daisy Wai has done a decent job. As things stand now, the PC’s are poised to win another term, if the NDP is to be in a position to form the government, then, this riding will become a toss up between the Liberals and the PC’s, but as things stand right now, it’s a PC hold.
	15/01/22	Bryan in Richmond Hill 72.141.205.243
Richmond Hill toggles back and forth between Conservatives and Liberals, with the NDP never achieving much more than ten per cent, so this riding appears to be a toss-up. The incumbent, Daisy Wai, seems to be a decent individual, but has little influence on her government's policies. The perceived cronyism and the plans for highways through the greenbelt are not too popular here, but the Conservative brand remains strong nonetheless. Very close contest.