| |
|
|
 |
Bisutti, Laura |  |
Burbach, Jo-Dee |  |
Fox, Ashley |  |
Hosken, Bob |  |
Macgregor, Sandy William |  |
Rae, Matthew |  |
Smink, Robby |
Incumbent:
| Randy Pettapiece |
Population (2016): |
107908 |
| Population (2011): | 104912 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
RANDY PETTAPIECE * |
| 23,736 | 50.67% |
|  |
MICHAEL O'BRIEN |
| 14,385 | 30.71% |
|  |
BRENDAN KNIGHT |
| 5,062 | 10.81% |
|  |
LISA OLSEN |
| 2,746 | 5.86% |
|  |
SCOTT MARSHALL |
| 380 | 0.81% |
|  |
PAUL MCKENDRICK |
| 320 | 0.68% |
|  |
ROB SMEENK |
| 125 | 0.27% |
| |
ANDREW STANTON |
| 89 | 0.19% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
13,585 | 33.10% |
|  |
15,992 | 38.96% |
|  |
7,764 | 18.91% |
|  |
2,005 | 4.88% |
| OTHERS |
1,702 | 4.15% |
| Total Transposed |
41,048 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Perth-Wellington
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
John Nater ** |
| 25,622 | 46.30% |
|  |
Pirie Mitchell |
| 15,002 | 27.10% |
|  |
Geoff Krauter |
| 8,094 | 14.60% |
|  |
Collan Simmons |
| 4,949 | 9.00% |
|  |
Roger Fuhr |
| 894 | 1.60% |
|  |
Irma DeVries |
| 733 | 1.30% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
John Nater |
| 22,255 | 42.90% |
|  |
Stephen McCotter |
| 19,480 | 37.60% |
|  |
Ethan Rabidoux |
| 7,756 | 15.00% |
|  |
Nicole Ramsdale |
| 1,347 | 2.60% |
|  |
Irma DeVries |
| 794 | 1.50% |
|  |
Roger Fuhr |
| 219 | 0.40% |
|
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| 29/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| This riding has provided some close battles in the past.Still however close this riding is on June 2 it will still stay PC with new candidate Matthew Rae. |
| 28/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| Interesting to see someone with a strong background in post-secondary education advocacy step up for the PCs here. Safe seat so Matthew Rae will take over from Randy Pettipiece. |
| 20/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| Yeah, the John Wilkinson era seems *really* of the distant past now, the notion that the Libs could still carry electable weight in rural Perth County, etc. It's not like the NDP's chances are any better, though at this point it *might* appear that SW Ontario provincial trending still strategically favours them over the Libs (and their offering a Stratford councillor suggests they're treating circumstances as such). But as long as the overriding pattern is mired in "Stratford and maybe St Marys and nothing else" for the opposition, the Tories aren't budging--though the dominant fact of Stratford (and the fact that unlike, say, Woodstock or St Thomas, it plumps overwhelmingly rather than just partially against the PCs--that's what being a "cultural community" does) makes it mid-to-low-end among rural SW Ontario Tory strongholds. *Maybe* someday the opposition will figure a retro-c20 way of leveraging enough rural support in its favour rather than just settling w/sorting into a "Stratford ghetto"... |
| 07/03/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Randy Pettapiece announced his retirement a couple months ago. Matthew Rae is listed as the new pc candidate for the riding. Ndp have selected Jo dee Burbach and unclear who the liberals will run here. the riding had no incumbent federally in 2015 and stayed cpc so type of riding that pcs can still hold. |
| 29/09/21 |
Chris N
24.36.46.234 |
| When the political winds are right, this riding can be at play. See John Wilkinson's reign during the McGuinty years or the close second place finish for the federal Liberals in 2015. Still, if the recent federal election has shown us anything, it's that the urban vs. rural, blue vs. red divide is growing, which will likely hurt the Liberals' ability to win back the seat. PC hold. |
| 18/06/21 |
JW
45.41.168.96 |
| For the most part, Southwestern Ontario (other than KW/Tricities) will be two way fight between PC and NDP. Rural SW has been realiable conservative territory both federally and provincially in the past 15 or so years. |
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