| |
|
|
 |
Arnew, Chris |  |
Augustyn, Dave |  |
Dale, Dan |  |
Garner, Laura |  |
Joyner, Doug |  |
Karatopis, Stefanos |  |
Oosterhoff, Sam |  |
Torma, Jim |
Incumbent:
| Sam Oosterhoff |
Population (2016): |
90838 |
| Population (2011): | 86533 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
SAM OOSTERHOFF * |
| 24,394 | 52.81% |
|  |
CURTIS FRIC |
| 13,769 | 29.81% |
|  |
JOE KANEE |
| 4,859 | 10.52% |
|  |
JESSICA TILLMANNS |
| 2,590 | 5.61% |
|  |
STEFANOS KARATOPIS |
| 451 | 0.98% |
|  |
GEOFFREY E. BARTON |
| 127 | 0.27% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
10,175 | 24.97% |
|  |
19,482 | 47.80% |
|  |
7,948 | 19.50% |
|  |
2,348 | 5.76% |
| OTHERS |
803 | 1.97% |
| Total Transposed |
40,756 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Niagara West-Glanbrook
(90.42% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Welland
(7.94% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| St. Catharines
(1.64% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Dean Allison ** |
| 24,447 | 45.30% |
|  |
Ian Bingham |
| 17,429 | 32.30% |
|  |
Nameer Rahman |
| 6,540 | 12.10% |
|  |
Terry Teather |
| 3,620 | 6.70% |
|  |
Harold Jonker |
| 1,019 | 1.90% |
|  |
Miles Morton |
| 869 | 1.60% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Dean Allison ** |
| 24,732 | 48.80% |
|  |
Phil Rose |
| 16,581 | 32.70% |
|  |
Nameer Rahman |
| 5,802 | 11.50% |
|  |
Sid Frere |
| 1,511 | 3.00% |
|  |
Harold Jonker |
| 1,234 | 2.40% |
|  |
Allan de Roo |
| 797 | 1.60% |
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| 28/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| I see a lot of commentary here saying the PC's should sweep the Niagara area. I can't see that but I can see them holding on to this seat. At 1 time this was the area that their former leader, Tim Hudak, was MPP for. |
| 28/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| NDP picked a good candidate (former Pelham Mayor Dave Augustyn) here, but it won't be enough. Socon wunderkind Sam Osterhoff returns to Queen's Park, much to the chagrin of many NDPers and Liberals, as well as probably a few people in his own party. |
| 14/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| The Bible Belt element within Niagara West is actually quite "containable"--but that "containability" only matters in the event of a split/dissident right, whether at the macro-scale of Reform in the 90s or the micro-scale of CHP/FCP forces (or PPC, for that matter). If Oost were to follow the path of Rick Nicholls, then we're talking about real danger here--but he's still in the Tory fold. Interesting, though, that the NDP is actually taking this riding seriously as if '18 signalled a realignment--usually they're a presumed 3rd party afterthought (and cases like '18--or '90, for that matter--were more like accidental happenstance). |
| 20/03/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Sam Oosterhoff first elected here in a 2016 by election to replace former mpp Tim Hudak. Sam has taken a lot of heat in the media ever since but he is well known in this riding and been pc for a long time so likely he holds its again. Ndp running Dave Augustyn a former municipal politician a higher profile candidate than normal in what has been a tough riding for then. Its unclear who the liberals plan to run here. |
| 25/12/21 |
ME
65.110.215.250 |
| The ONDP are running a star candidate, Dave Augustyn the Mayor of Pelham for 12 years 2006-2018 and was a regional councillor ..He is running to win. |
| 14/05/21 |
Chris N
24.36.32.209 |
| This is the heart of Ontario's bible belt. Yes, many priced out Torontonians are moving out to Grimsby and Beamsville, slowly changing the demographics of the riding. However, it will likely take a number of election cycles for this trend to flip the riding red or orange. Safe PC win. |
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